Land prices

How is land being sold elsewhere nowadays?
Years ago most seemed to go up for auction but I can’t think when I last heard of any for sale that way, must be in excess of 5 years.
Most seems to be sold privately which from my limited experience seems to be like a long drawn out auction, make offer to auctioneer, he comes back saying he’s got a better offer , I say I’ll think about it and make a better offer some time later and repeat.

Was told of some land next door for sale February 20 and finally got it bought and payed for following October.

Similar last year, spent most of the summer/autumn slowly increasing my bids before pulling out, looks like he was bouncing bids off the wall on that one but it’s harder to tell when you’re not in the room looking him in the eye.
 

No wot

Member
£20k per acre? For a decent sized patch (say >100 acres) without development potential? Its nowhere near that in East Anglia - 10k max unless its irrigated veg land.
I'd say for 20k/ac , obviously location is a factor but with the amount of new houses been built nationwide, to have a number of active farmers with rollover funds fighting each other and city types , over good commercial farm land , would be why 20k is achievable
 

NLF

Member
I'd say for 20k/ac , obviously location is a factor but with the amount of new houses been built nationwide, to have a number of active farmers with rollover funds fighting each other and city types , over good commercial farm land , would be why 20k is achievable
I've never understood the enthusiasm of people with "rollover money" to donate their windfalls to selling farmers. Land prices around me peaked in 2015-16 when roll over and inheritance tax money saw some bare land make 12-15k per acre. Today that land is worth 8-9k. They would have been better off paying the tax. If they had put the money in the stock market they would have made 150% return over the same period. And the rolled over gain hasn't gone away, its just deferred.

If I had 100% of my net worth tied up in farm land I would appreciate a bit of diversification but that doesn't appear to be how most farmers think.
 

NLF

Member

Here is a good long term overview of land prices. Savills state that since 1900 English land prices have returned 6% nominal per annum, but only 1% CAGR post inflation.

1900 was a time of agricultural depression - £10 per acre land prices. If you went back to to the 1870s, land prices were more like 25-30 per acre.

Those returns are only half the story. Farmers or landowners have made money farming or letting the land and 1 in 20 acres has been developed over the past 120 years delivering windfalls to those lucky owners. But yes, there have been prolonged periods when land has been a terrible investment, notably 1870s to 1930s, but also the second halves of the 1970s, 80s and 90s when land yoyoed up and down commodity prices and interest rates.
 

chipchap

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
South Shropshire
I would be very interested to see a graph of inflation adjusted land price over the last century or two.

The trouble is the government has moved the goalposts by sidelining RPI, and nowadaye uses CPI.
 

Yale

Member
Livestock Farmer
Come and farm next to me if you want.

Actually it won't be farming it will be planted with trees by some management company like Tilhill etc. for carbon.

The video makes it look idyllic however it is a harsh piece of land.Sort of land where you would eventually kill yourself with a tractor.

 

vantage

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Pembs
Come and farm next to me if you want.

Actually it won't be farming it will be planted with trees by some management company like Tilhill etc. for carbon.

The video makes it look idyllic however it is a harsh piece of land.Sort of land where you would eventually kill yourself with a tractor.

Old Drakey will be on the case! o_O
 

toquark

Member
The Scottish Government have commissioned a review on land prices and in particular the nature of new green buyers now it’s been revealed that two thirds of buyers in 2021 were corporate, institutional or charities, squeezing smaller private buyers out and compromising their own targets for a more diverse land owning base.

I wonder if they’ll recognise their own role in the debacle whereby they shovelled £50m to an institutional forestry buyer and thus taking out another 25 or so family farms in the process?

Probably not.
 

teslacoils

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
There are also fewer land agents now. Since Christmas it's been pretty obvious that they have buyers on the books waiting for farms. Not fields. More like £3-10m budgets for commercial units. In which case the lack of "for sale" boards in Lincs this spring is not surprising.
 

Humble Village Farmer

Member
BASE UK Member
Location
Essex
The Scottish Government have commissioned a review on land prices and in particular the nature of new green buyers now it’s been revealed that two thirds of buyers in 2021 were corporate, institutional or charities, squeezing smaller private buyers out and compromising their own targets for a more diverse land owning base.

I wonder if they’ll recognise their own role in the debacle whereby they shovelled £50m to an institutional forestry buyer and thus taking out another 25 or so family farms in the process?

Probably not.
It's all a symptom of the declining viability of UK ag. I just wonder if that could be about to change.
 

No wot

Member
Which ever direction you travel , you soon pass fields with massive notice boards with Developers name and X amount of houses coming soon or building sites with more been built , there's a lot of money out there , a combination of businessman & farmers with rollover and not enough quality farm land , short term prices are 🔝
 

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