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Farm Business
Politics, Covid19 and Brexit
EU threatens to ban UK ag and food exports to them
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<blockquote data-quote="Y Fan Wen" data-source="post: 7142142" data-attributes="member: 741"><p>Chris Grey gives this analysis in his column this week:-</p><p></p><p>'In this febrile atmosphere, and with a Prime Minister so lacking in consistency, principle, or even basic competence, Brexit predictions are more difficult than ever. So as the week ends it still looks possible that after all the chaos of this autumn (of which there is much more to come) clears away, some kind of <a href="https://twitter.com/lisaocarroll/status/1305061119946522626" target="_blank">fairly limited deal</a> will be done. At least, there are a few straws in the wind – as regards both <a href="https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-fish-exclusive/exclusive-britain-has-moved-to-break-fisheries-deadlock-in-brexit-trade-talks-eu-sources-idUKKBN26632H" target="_blank">fisheries</a> and even <a href="https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/liz-truss-japan-deal-ties-uk-to-strict-state-aid-rules-ft-reports-1-6836473" target="_blank">state aid</a> – that this might be so.</p><p></p><p>If so, the economic consequences will be bad but not dramatic and not very visible, just a gradual decline of prosperity. Relations with the EU will be sour but not totally destroyed. Resentfully the UK will comply with the Irish Sea border, and the complex, rickety mechanisms for doing so may just about work. There will be years of ongoing negotiations on a piecemeal basis, and constant attempts by the UK to push to the limit and beyond what it had agreed. The Brexiters will be sulphurous and constantly urging more antagonistic stances, and still convinced that their fantasy would have been possible had it not been betrayed.</p><p></p><p>It’s hardly an inspiring vision, yet, limited though it is, an optimistic one which in another week may seem hopelessly unrealistic. For there are many obstacles to reaching even this very modest destination.'</p><p></p><p>A reasonable analysis I think.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Y Fan Wen, post: 7142142, member: 741"] Chris Grey gives this analysis in his column this week:- 'In this febrile atmosphere, and with a Prime Minister so lacking in consistency, principle, or even basic competence, Brexit predictions are more difficult than ever. So as the week ends it still looks possible that after all the chaos of this autumn (of which there is much more to come) clears away, some kind of [URL='https://twitter.com/lisaocarroll/status/1305061119946522626']fairly limited deal[/URL] will be done. At least, there are a few straws in the wind – as regards both [URL='https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-fish-exclusive/exclusive-britain-has-moved-to-break-fisheries-deadlock-in-brexit-trade-talks-eu-sources-idUKKBN26632H']fisheries[/URL] and even [URL='https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/top-stories/liz-truss-japan-deal-ties-uk-to-strict-state-aid-rules-ft-reports-1-6836473']state aid[/URL] – that this might be so. If so, the economic consequences will be bad but not dramatic and not very visible, just a gradual decline of prosperity. Relations with the EU will be sour but not totally destroyed. Resentfully the UK will comply with the Irish Sea border, and the complex, rickety mechanisms for doing so may just about work. There will be years of ongoing negotiations on a piecemeal basis, and constant attempts by the UK to push to the limit and beyond what it had agreed. The Brexiters will be sulphurous and constantly urging more antagonistic stances, and still convinced that their fantasy would have been possible had it not been betrayed. It’s hardly an inspiring vision, yet, limited though it is, an optimistic one which in another week may seem hopelessly unrealistic. For there are many obstacles to reaching even this very modest destination.' A reasonable analysis I think. [/QUOTE]
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EU threatens to ban UK ag and food exports to them
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