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<blockquote data-quote="Elmsted" data-source="post: 40178" data-attributes="member: 1123"><p>Compliant with Pig man's wishes. Agree with what you say. But equaly suggest to keep the monte Carlo roulette wheel analogy spinning. My view or experience has created it is such that I look at rotation from a start point of the wheel has only red and black. That = 50% winter + 50% spring evens bet. And covers all options.</p><p>Then there reality of block cropping which is only way to go with a large farm. So then factor in risk management which is essential. I have 5 crops which I can grow in our climate as mainstays, knowing there are and will be buyers. So that means a 20% risk on each. So therefore put 5 more bets centre table. Split so 4 are on numbers half odd half even and one bet split odd & even.</p><p> </p><p>Yes I had a year when the income from the previous harvest was not enough to finance the next years harvest over all the land. Simple cut out the winter crops. Therefore grew 50% of land and that gave better cashflow and liquidity to do the spring cropping. As always an optimist the spring crop 25% gave an entry for winter wheat.</p><p> </p><p>Sometimes one has enough to randomly bet on one birth date. Always do it, cause it has often paid off best.</p><p>Hence never grow second wheats. But often grow second maize.</p><p> </p><p>Please do not use the above when you enter the Casino on the inside of bend in the track at Monte Carlo.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Elmsted, post: 40178, member: 1123"] Compliant with Pig man's wishes. Agree with what you say. But equaly suggest to keep the monte Carlo roulette wheel analogy spinning. My view or experience has created it is such that I look at rotation from a start point of the wheel has only red and black. That = 50% winter + 50% spring evens bet. And covers all options. Then there reality of block cropping which is only way to go with a large farm. So then factor in risk management which is essential. I have 5 crops which I can grow in our climate as mainstays, knowing there are and will be buyers. So that means a 20% risk on each. So therefore put 5 more bets centre table. Split so 4 are on numbers half odd half even and one bet split odd & even. Yes I had a year when the income from the previous harvest was not enough to finance the next years harvest over all the land. Simple cut out the winter crops. Therefore grew 50% of land and that gave better cashflow and liquidity to do the spring cropping. As always an optimist the spring crop 25% gave an entry for winter wheat. Sometimes one has enough to randomly bet on one birth date. Always do it, cause it has often paid off best. Hence never grow second wheats. But often grow second maize. Please do not use the above when you enter the Casino on the inside of bend in the track at Monte Carlo. [/QUOTE]
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