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Farm Business
Politics, Covid19 and Brexit
Russian invasion of Europe
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<blockquote data-quote="Danllan" data-source="post: 9079999" data-attributes="member: 8735"><p>A <u>general</u> invasion of Europe isn't going to happen, France definitely would go nuclear if its homeland was threatened and even in a purely conventional war Russia would have the living sh!t kicked out of it, and knows it.</p><p></p><p>But... <u>if</u> Ukraine is <u>not</u> given the necessary to ensure Russia loses there, a series of small 'pecking' operations are not unlikely. I think Moldova would be the first target and, if all went well there, that a few pokes at one of the Baltic states would be next.</p><p></p><p>Yet NATO has to be seen to be resolute as well as effective; my guess is that Estonia would be the first target, being 30% ethnic Russian. I don't suggest that Russia would openly attack a NATO member, but I'd not be surprised if it were to encourage and support secessionists in the East, nor if 'little green men' were seen there. And then, when there was a a pretend state formed, Russia would act formally; but it would be a very cautious series of escalating steps.</p><p></p><p>What will stop this? Properly supporting Ukraine now.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Danllan, post: 9079999, member: 8735"] A [U]general[/U] invasion of Europe isn't going to happen, France definitely would go nuclear if its homeland was threatened and even in a purely conventional war Russia would have the living sh!t kicked out of it, and knows it. But... [U]if[/U] Ukraine is [U]not[/U] given the necessary to ensure Russia loses there, a series of small 'pecking' operations are not unlikely. I think Moldova would be the first target and, if all went well there, that a few pokes at one of the Baltic states would be next. Yet NATO has to be seen to be resolute as well as effective; my guess is that Estonia would be the first target, being 30% ethnic Russian. I don't suggest that Russia would openly attack a NATO member, but I'd not be surprised if it were to encourage and support secessionists in the East, nor if 'little green men' were seen there. And then, when there was a a pretend state formed, Russia would act formally; but it would be a very cautious series of escalating steps. What will stop this? Properly supporting Ukraine now. [/QUOTE]
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