Thank you.firstly £28K for a 44Kw install sounds good to me, but check out the inverters and the warranty . They will most likely be Chinese and I would upgrade if possible to Fronius although Solis seem to be behaving well but you cannot rely on extended warranties when you ned to return product to Shanghai for checking out!
I think you are optimistic on your 12p figure, while that was last ten years an export of nearer 6.5- 7 p would be more realistic. however it is quite possible that high prices are here to stay but currently an average would be 10p today.
East West panels would and should give you a slight premium though as they produce a better production profile except of course you lose out in winter
my own figures would suggest a new 44K system would produce in the order of 37,500 units in the Eastern counties provided there is no shading
Sadly as you rightly note you will lose out on your production as 75% of production will be April - September which is opposite to your usage cycle
you are correct, you will get days in winter when production falls off the cliff, my 144Kw array has produced a total of 126 Kwh over 4 days 2nd-5th this week ie 32.5Kw per day avg. Back up to 218 units yesterday though but today is not looking good
My 2 east and west arrays both 40 kw did 6 and 7 kWh out puts on 2 days this week
depending on the house it would be very easy to reduce its consumption to near zero. my house array is 8kw and with my 19kw of batteries my consumption from the grid is very low and also at this time of year I am taking power from the grid on cheap rate to supplement when the sun does not shine
You will normally require a HH meter to sell your export, this can be a faff to obtain and will cost approximately £350-400 per annum
I am assuming you have 3 phase already as you Weill not normally get permission to install more than 10Kw otherwise
The other option to consider as well is a ground mount system, then you can face it Due south and get better yields up to around the 44,000 units depends on location
Trina solar vertex panels and solis inverter are quoted.