Committee on Climate Change Report The Future For Farming And Land Use

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
The problem is they need to do these things to their time scales, not the climate scientist ones. You don't think the oil industry and all the businesses that use fossil fuels is just going to rollover and say that's it were are out. It suits a great many people to kick the can down the road whilst blaming cows and planting a few trees to humour joe public.
The oil companies are probably laughing at the antics of the west in trying to cut co2 emissions by a few per cent while the developing world is still using plenty of oil and will be for a long time yet.
 

Poorbuthappy

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Devon
We
Thats has zero to do with climate change. No one argues that humans are not capable of polluting the environment. The argument is whether by burning fossil fuels they are capable of a) changing the climate and b) if so, whether those changes are catastrophic.



The changes that are happening (and have been happening for the entire existence of the planet, climate always changes) happen so slowly that man will always adapt. Nothing happens in climate terms in less than centuries not decades. There is no 'climate catastrophe' whereby everyone dies inside a decade or two (apart from meteorite hits and super volcano eruptions, and there's not much one can do about either of those) Everyone alive today will be dead and buried before the climate has changed even enough for anyone to notice. And those who come after us will adapt to the changes, just as we have adapted to the changes since the Little Ice Age (a period of about 3-400 hundred years from about the 16th century to the end of the 19th century.

The thing is, warm is better for humans. The very reason we exist and have colonised the planet is because we are living in an inter-glacial period. The entire of known human civilisation is contained within the current inter-glacial period, the Holocene. The actual 'normal' state of the planet in its current geological era is in an Ice Age - the Vostok ice cores show a consistent pattern. The Ice Ages generally last up to 100k years, with the interglacial periods in between being about 10-15k years. If anything we should be grateful the earths temperature is currently rising - at some point in the next 5k years the earth will enter a new Ice Age. Now that will be catastrophe for humankind.
We're not to good at under water though....?
 

holwellcourtfarm

Member
Livestock Farmer
Isn't this
The changes that are happening happen so slowly that man will always adapt.
contrary to this
at some point in the next 5k years the earth will enter a new Ice Age. Now that will be catastrophe for humankind.

Oh, and does this
The thing is, warm is better for humans.
also apply in Aus where temps over 50C are being seen now, enough to kill humans unless they take careful measures?
 

Two Tone

Member
Mixed Farmer
The problem is they need to do these things to their time scales, not the climate scientist ones. You don't think the oil industry and all the businesses that use fossil fuels is just going to rollover and say that's it were are out. It suits a great many people to kick the can down the road whilst blaming cows and planting a few trees to humour joe public.
Thank goodness you have joined this thread with some sensible posts @Muck Spreader rather than the mostly bickering and pathetic rudeness that the last two pages of it seems have become. Well done!

This is an interesting subject that requires balanced views rather than giving entrenched views, then acting like children when somebody disagrees with them.

There is no clear answer to solving the CC problem, especially when there is so much money at stake that undoubtedly leads to bias, depending on who is paying for it. But that doesn’t mean the rest of us should throw all are toys out of the pram whenever somebody offers a contradictory comment or view.
 

holwellcourtfarm

Member
Livestock Farmer
Thank goodness you have joined this thread with some sensible posts @Muck Spreader rather than the mostly bickering and pathetic rudeness that the last two pages of it seems have become. Well done!

This is an interesting subject that requires balanced views rather than giving entrenched views, then acting like children when somebody disagrees with them.

There is no clear answer to solving the CC problem, especially when there is so much money at stake that undoubtedly leads to bias, depending on who is paying for it. But that doesn’t mean the rest of us should throw all are toys out of the pram whenever somebody offers a contradictory comment or view.
I'm genuinely interested in contrary views but I don't quite see the law of thermodynamics in the same way. The Earth is both receiving and emitting energy all the time, the net effect depends on the balance of the 2 (and the ability of our planetary sinks to buffer the difference). CO2 is definately not the only game in town but it is a factor. So is CH4, N20, water vapour, albedo effect, soil cover, volcanic eruptions, solar flares etc etc.

As for the science: ALL sources are biased. Some are inadventently so and some inetntionally so. The trick is sorting out which is which and how bad each bias is.
 

Two Tone

Member
Mixed Farmer
The way many people talk, you’d think that CO2 was the most abundant gas in our atmosphere.
It is 404ppm, which is 0.04% of it!

To get this into context, there have not been a million days since Jesus was born. In fact only 737,833 of them!
If the proportion of CO2 was expressed in days since Jesus was born, it would be 295 days.
OR 22nd September in the year 0!



(Actually 21st September if it is/was a Leap year!)
 
Last edited:

Dan Powell

Member
Location
Shropshire
The way many people talk, you’d think that CO2 was the most abundant gas in our atmosphere.
It is 404ppm, which is 0.04% of it!

To get this into context, there have not been a million days since Jesus was born. In fact only 737,833 of them!
If the proportion of CO2 was expressed in days since Jesus was born, it would be 295 days.
OR 22nd September in the year 0!



(Actually 21st September if it is/was a Leap year!)
Not really relevant but an excellent statistic.
 

Dan Powell

Member
Location
Shropshire
Thats has zero to do with climate change. No one argues that humans are not capable of polluting the environment. The argument is whether by burning fossil fuels they are capable of a) changing the climate and b) if so, whether those changes are catastrophic.



The changes that are happening (and have been happening for the entire existence of the planet, climate always changes) happen so slowly that man will always adapt. Nothing happens in climate terms in less than centuries not decades. There is no 'climate catastrophe' whereby everyone dies inside a decade or two (apart from meteorite hits and super volcano eruptions, and there's not much one can do about either of those) Everyone alive today will be dead and buried before the climate has changed even enough for anyone to notice. And those who come after us will adapt to the changes, just as we have adapted to the changes since the Little Ice Age (a period of about 3-400 hundred years from about the 16th century to the end of the 19th century.

The thing is, warm is better for humans. The very reason we exist and have colonised the planet is because we are living in an inter-glacial period. The entire of known human civilisation is contained within the current inter-glacial period, the Holocene. The actual 'normal' state of the planet in its current geological era is in an Ice Age - the Vostok ice cores show a consistent pattern. The Ice Ages generally last up to 100k years, with the interglacial periods in between being about 10-15k years. If anything we should be grateful the earths temperature is currently rising - at some point in the next 5k years the earth will enter a new Ice Age. Now that will be catastrophe for humankind.
There are plenty of recorded changes out there in the world that would dispute your assertion that the climate is changing "so slowly that man will always adapt."

The real crisis is one of human impact on the whole planet, not just the climate. The water cycle, biodiversity loss, deforestation, pollution, desertification. It's all one big picture.

I think the report makes some important points and some of the changes will be for the better. Some are completely misguided though. Planting trees can be justified in many ways, but in terms of carbon mitigation it's a laughably small drop in the ocean. If they really want to reduce carbon emissions, they should start with consumer goods and leisure activities. The road past my farm is massively busy compared to when I was a child. Half the traffic seems to be little vans delivering online shopping.
 

Gong Farmer

Member
BASIS
Location
S E Glos
The way many people talk, you’d think that CO2 was the most abundant gas in our atmosphere.
It is 404ppm, which is 0.04% of it!

To get this into context, there have not been a million days since Jesus was born. In fact only 737,833 of them!
If the proportion of CO2 was expressed in days since Jesus was born, it would be 295 days.
OR 22nd September in the year 0!



(Actually 21st September if it is/was a Leap year!)
Ooh, the autumn equinox! Spooky!
 

WorkerDrone

Member
Location
Dorset
I started commenting on this thread because I furious at the news presented on Farming Today relating to the CCC report.

I hadn’t read the report (all 123 pages of it).........but I have now !!

Contrary to my initial fears, if the potential dangers of GHG and Global Warming are acknowledged (and that’s a whole other debate it seems), the findings and recommendations of the Great and the Good are generally positive.

What is sadly lacking ( and is a trait to be found in most reports from academia) are any answers. The constant repetition of standard numbers and repeated paragraphs throughout the report was frustrating to say the least.........you had to read all of it, just in case ”Sir Humphrey” had buried a bombshell in the text. But there aren’t any......?
No one appears to have picked up on the fact that the committee do not expect to attain anywhere near the Net Zero figure by 2050.......and the boys and girls on the Aero committee, only expect to have reached 23% of the target, whilst the governments own projections have readings of 63% of today’s levels by 2050. Reason......longevity of the aircraft fleet. No pressure on the airlines then ??
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
Who are paid trolls?

People like you and me apparently. Unfortunately my cheque from Big Oil (or the Lizard People) has been lost in the post. Every climate fanatic always claims that people who oppose them are paid shills for some vested interest. They can't conceive that ordinary people could arrive at opinions contrary to their own entirely of their own volition.
 

Robin1966

Member
Thats has zero to do with climate change. No one argues that humans are not capable of polluting the environment. The argument is whether by burning fossil fuels they are capable of a) changing the climate and b) if so, whether those changes are catastrophic.



The changes that are happening (and have been happening for the entire existence of the planet, climate always changes) happen so slowly that man will always adapt. Nothing happens in climate terms in less than centuries not decades. There is no 'climate catastrophe' whereby everyone dies inside a decade or two (apart from meteorite hits and super volcano eruptions, and there's not much one can do about either of those) Everyone alive today will be dead and buried before the climate has changed even enough for anyone to notice. And those who come after us will adapt to the changes, just as we have adapted to the changes since the Little Ice Age (a period of about 3-400 hundred years from about the 16th century to the end of the 19th century.

The thing is, warm is better for humans. The very reason we exist and have colonised the planet is because we are living in an inter-glacial period. The entire of known human civilisation is contained within the current inter-glacial period, the Holocene. The actual 'normal' state of the planet in its current geological era is in an Ice Age - the Vostok ice cores show a consistent pattern. The Ice Ages generally last up to 100k years, with the interglacial periods in between being about 10-15k years. If anything we should be grateful the earths temperature is currently rising - at some point in the next 5k years the earth will enter a new Ice Age. Now that will be catastrophe for humankind.

This really is just so much incorrect guff. Actually, UN estimates point to 400,000 to 600,000 people dying each year due to causes that can be attributed to man-made climate change: https://www.americansecurityproject.org/climate-change-causing-400000-deaths-per-year/

Changes are already happening, and they are being noticed, except by some it seems.

We are not in an interglacial. We are in a Milankovitch cycle (Earth's orbital cycle) which ordinarily would mean us approaching or actually being in an ice age. Greenhouse gas emissions emitted by humans have effectively delayed that ice age by about 50,000 years.
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
This really is just so much incorrect guff. Actually, UN estimates point to 400,000 to 600,000 people dying each year due to causes that can be attributed to man-made climate change: https://www.americansecurityproject.org/climate-change-causing-400000-deaths-per-year/

Changes are already happening, and they are being noticed, except by some it seems.

We are not in an interglacial. We are in a Milankovitch cycle (Earth's orbital cycle) which ordinarily would mean us approaching or actually being in an ice age. Greenhouse gas emissions emitted by humans have effectively delayed that ice age by about 50,000 years.

The 'American Security Project' Is that any more than an excuse to go beat the shite out of countries that don't do as uncle Sam tells them? Terrorism is so old hat, now its climate change being touted as the new reason for war on poorer nations.
 

essex man

Member
Location
colchester
Should really do something about rainforest, seems to be emitting quite a lot of co2
signal-2020-01-09-105057-1.jpg
 

Muck Spreader

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
Limousin
Thank goodness you have joined this thread with some sensible posts @Muck Spreader rather than the mostly bickering and pathetic rudeness that the last two pages of it seems have become. Well done!

This is an interesting subject that requires balanced views rather than giving entrenched views, then acting like children when somebody disagrees with them.

There is no clear answer to solving the CC problem, especially when there is so much money at stake that undoubtedly leads to bias, depending on who is paying for it. But that doesn’t mean the rest of us should throw all are toys out of the pram whenever somebody offers a contradictory comment or view.

It is interesting, also highly complex and is, or will have an effect on every living thing on the planet. Hopefully over the coming decades agriculture will play a big part in helping to manage climate change. The current difficulty is just getting people and particularly governments to acknowledge that it's real threat and it actually exists. And it will take way way more than a bit of tree planting to solve.

Also in defence of the climate scientists who get a regular panning on here, I would say they are allowed to be wrong in their predictions. Whilst they are using the best data available with the biggest computers it's still a forecast (guess) and they frequently have to reevaluate it. But their overall trend lines remain stubbornly towards a 4 degree rise by the end of the century if we do nothing.
 

Scribus

Member
Location
Central Atlantic
Wh strikes me the most about that slide is the Republic of Ireland.
What the heck are they up to?

Is it down to all the Guinness they make?

This might have something to do with it -

By 2028 data centres and other large users will consume 29% of Ireland’s electricity, according to EirGrid, Ireland’s state-owned transmission system operator. Worldwide data centres consume about 2% of electricity, a figure set to reach 8% by 2030. Few countries, if any, will match Ireland’s level.

 

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