- Location
- Montgomeryshire
It be interesting to see the facts for that and in terms of where killing numbers are,
My thinking is that trade has been good all the way though so people have kept killing...and in Theory that should make them short later, and maybe with store prices being so good people have push them out earlier but maybe I am wrong and try to convince my self at these store price are fine and nothing to worry bout
Increasing numbers of stores will be getting sold privately, especially those being put away quietly by the retailers, so I wouldn't use numbers at store sales as any particular gauge tbh.
As I posted above, HCC (the Welsh AHDB) are reporting killing numbers being down 10% currently. We all know census numbers for lambs on farm are usually nonsense, but kill numbers are pretty accurate, and no reason to think there was a particularly disastrous lambing nationally this year?
I can't remember the figures, but I don't think kill numbers through the summer have been much higher than normal, and a 10% drop at the time of the peak glut is pretty seismic.
Maybe more are being retained for breeding, rather than filling those mule breeder's pockets? That certainly won't account for 10% though.
I expect lamb price to stay OK, but without the massive uplift that we saw this Spring. If you can get £100+ for them now, without incurring a wintering cost, crack on imo.