Recession my arse

Scholsey

Member
Location
Herefordshire
Bumpy road ahead due to gas prices , but a proper recession involves huge lay offs in the employment sector

Big disconnect between big govt and reality

I’d imagine it’s already happening with a combination of zero hour contracts and a lot of people moving jobs in the last 1-2 years for a extra few quid resulting in far more straight forward redundancies.
 

Grass And Grain

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Yorks
Bumpy road ahead due to gas prices , but a proper recession involves huge lay offs in the employment sector

Big disconnect between big govt and reality
If household budgets are squeezed £3,000, maybe up to £5-6,000+ annually, then something has to give. Less cash to spend on things.

Now BoE start raising interest rates, so more mortgage pain.

Demand destruction. Factories on reduced hours = lower wages to pay the increasing living costs.

It's all energy price related. No reduction in energy prices will mean recession imho.
 

bobk

Member
Location
stafford
If household budgets are squeezed £3,000, maybe up to £5-6,000+ annually, then something has to give. Less cash to spend on things.

Now BoE start raising interest rates, so more mortgage pain.

Demand destruction. Factories on reduced hours = lower wages to pay the increasing living costs.

It's all energy price related. No reduction in energy prices will mean recession imho.
Which is speculator driven .
 

Grass And Grain

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Yorks
Which is speculator driven .
It is market/speculator prices, but it doesn't alter the fact households have several thousand £££ more annual costs. Energy is such a large chunk of costs for many essential things we buy.

Most households don't have £6k spare at the end of the year. Something has to give, and at the same time mortgage rates are going up.

They'll stop spending on luxuries like holidays, and knock on effect right through the economy.

And if the crunch comes the householder defaults on the mortgage. House price crash time here we come.

Is there any way recession/crash can be stopped? Only thing I can think is cheaper energy.
 

glasshouse

Member
Location
lothians
It is market/speculator prices, but it doesn't alter the fact households have several thousand £££ more annual costs. Energy is such a large chunk of costs for many essential things we buy.

Most households don't have £6k spare at the end of the year. Something has to give, and at the same time mortgage rates are going up.

They'll stop spending on luxuries like holidays, and knock on effect right through the economy.

And if the crunch comes the householder defaults on the mortgage. House price crash time here we come.

Is there any way recession/crash can be stopped? Only thing I can think is cheaper energy.
Chancellor could slash fuel duty
 

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