glasshouse
Member
- Location
- lothians
The grain corridor benefits russia more than ukraineThis is my own take of things since the Ukraine invasion. Russia invaded Ukraine which is the breadbasket of Europe, the term that was used a lot at the outset. Supplies of grain were now not being exported and prices were rapidly escalating, IMO the west somehow convinced Russia it was looking even more bad, if they did not agree to some export deal however it now looks as if the West outsmarted Russia on this occasion and have been using this grain to help stabilise prices in their own countries. The knock on consequences of dear grain was having bigger implications and far reaching consequences than originally feared and had to be contained at all costs. However i believe supplies of grain from Ukraine are dwindling and Ukraine is nowhere near producing the amount it once was. This will continue until the war ends, who knows when this will be unfortunately. Going forward is going to be full of large swings in pricing if something drastic happens. My view is that countries/large conglomerates have not been worried as log as it got it hands on cheap grain which Ukraine was desperate to get rid of. I bet Ukraine was not selling its grain at £300/tonne, therefore these countries were effectively using Ukraine in it's darkest hour.
We do not live in a perfect world and wars have always existed! Growing up I did not realise the Iran -Iraq war ever existed. We have the Gaza strip/Israel etc which I do not understand about but will probably still be going long after I am dead. The West have ensured regimes changes occurred in Iraq and Afghanistan but I am unsure if we have not made things a hell of a lot worse.
I think Russia/Putin knows he has been outsmarted on the grain corridor but that they are now playing the long game, so who knows what will happen. Expect the unexpected!
