Combinables Price Tracker

HAM135

Member
Arable Farmer
Not convinced there's going to be a bounce now or before harvest,the market is being manipulated either by governments or markets,couple quid rise one day,£6 drop the next, doesn't seem to make any difference now when there's a weather event, unfortunately I can't see harvest price at £200,think it's more likely to be heading to £150,I made a decent job of grain sales last year,this year looking like a disaster with very little priced!
 

Nitrams

Member
Location
Cornwall
Not convinced there's going to be a bounce now or before harvest,the market is being manipulated either by governments or markets,couple quid rise one day,£6 drop the next, doesn't seem to make any difference now when there's a weather event, unfortunately I can't see harvest price at £200,think it's more likely to be heading to £150,I made a decent job of grain sales last year,this year looking like a disaster with very little priced!
Its difficult not to be cynical about the job. When you read things like the BOE put pressure on banks to lower the libor rate back in 2008 it does make you wonder what goes on. If you were BOE or Fed and tasked with controlling inflation and regularily pee billions away for the greater good of keeping it all going at any cost it would be nothing to short the relavant markets with the odd billion here and there to start bringing things back in line.
 

WRXppp

Member
Location
North Yorks
The cost of subsidised food production now looking like a drop in the ocean isn't it....
Yep, if you can sort of dog and stick it and have a job running alongside instead of the security blanket of BPS along with some light touch ELMS options to run as break crops why worry about actual food security when it seems we have the powers that be obsessed with opening us up to cheaper, less environmentally product just to try appease the supermarkets in their price wars, we can’t win as farmers, if we have a poor harvest we get bashed because we are the cause of food inflation while destroying the environment, spuds could well be down area wise, same yield as last year and on the back of an empty cupboard unlike last year, so when the price, which it has for old crop, rockets we will have the same as the egg job, packers hunting and finding nothing spare kicking around, crispers have been hunting mids out of the free buy chipping job this last year, you can bet some crispers may be allowed to grow on so there is a top fraction to go to free buy chippers, why is the area down, to reduce risk, many combinable crop growers will look at a guarantee income ELMS option instead of the miriad of break even or loose money break crops, OSR sown last year was a sound bet even if it only did a tonne/acre at £800/tonne cos of flea beetle and now look, £350, so on the back of interest rates and what has happened with input and output £’s we don’t just have a flutter anymore, it’s full on gambling+weather+moreRISK.
 

Dbs32

Member
Starting to see a lot more news articles about world droughts and poor crops, it's too late for a lot of them now. Hopefully get a bounce good enough to not feel like we're giving it away.

November wheat up a fiver
 

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
I’m trying to conserve cashflow so I can hold sales until as late as possible. What else can I do? My own crops are going off badly on the sand. Yields must be falling. I haven’t sold anything forward as here it’s generally too risky but sold last years harvest well enough.
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 118 38.4%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 118 38.4%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 42 13.7%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 6 2.0%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 5 1.6%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 18 5.9%

Expanded and improved Sustainable Farming Incentive offer for farmers published

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  • 1
Expanded Sustainable Farming Incentive offer from July will give the sector a clear path forward and boost farm business resilience.

From: Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs and The Rt Hon Sir Mark Spencer MP Published21 May 2024

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Full details of the expanded and improved Sustainable Farming Incentive (SFI) offer available to farmers from July have been published by the...
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