Covid Vaccine Roll out.

Highland Mule

Member
Livestock Farmer
What you will see is no significant difference between 2018 and 2021 apart from hysteria
Go on then, show us your working. 2018 was the worst year since 1976, (mostly due to an ineffective flu vaccine that winter) so it’s particularly telling that you picked it rather than say 2016.

Anyway, my data shows plenty difference, and that’s backed up by acturial reporting showing life expectancy had a material drop since the start of the pandemic - but I’ll let you go first and tell us all what “no significant difference” looks like.
 

essex man

Member
Location
colchester
Go on then, show us your working. 2018 was the worst year since 1976, (mostly due to an ineffective flu vaccine that winter) so it’s particularly telling that you picked it rather than say 2016.

Anyway, my data shows plenty difference, and that’s backed up by acturial reporting showing life expectancy had a material drop since the start of the pandemic - but I’ll let you go first and tell us all what “no significant difference” looks like.
Oh dear still failing to understand that the actual level of mortality rates/life expectancy is more important than changes year on year
 

essex man

Member
Location
colchester
Go on then, show us your working. 2018 was the worst year since 1976, (mostly due to an ineffective flu vaccine that winter) so it’s particularly telling that you picked it rather than say 2016.

Anyway, my data shows plenty difference, and that’s backed up by acturial reporting showing life expectancy had a material drop since the start of the pandemic - but I’ll let you go first and tell us all what “no significant difference” looks like.
The thing you do is compare bad years with bad years, hence 2018, that is how you discern if anything unusual is happening and guess what...it wasn't.
 

Raider112

Member
Professor Carl Heneghan when commenting on excess deaths (I cant remember over which exact time points ) indicated that over 60 000 of the excess deaths were not covid but a huge amount of extra deaths at home and these had to be looked at in case we are in this situation again
I never said they were all Covid deaths, I never even said any were Covid deaths, just that there were 133,000 excess deaths in that period.
If I remember correctly around a third of them were in April 2000 so if I'm right a fair few of them would be due to Covid I imagine.
 

oval

Member
I never said they were all Covid deaths, I never even said any were Covid deaths, just that there were 133,000 excess deaths in that period.
If I remember correctly around a third of them were in April 2000 so if I'm right a fair few of them would be due to Covid I imagine.
I understand that a lot think those are all covid but a large proportion are of our own making which needs focusing on so we don’t make the same mistakes next time
 

Highland Mule

Member
Livestock Farmer
What did they find then?
Do you know numbers of deaths and mortality rates for those months
Why don’t you tell us? You’ve claimed the numbers show nothing unusual, yet you won’t provide your “evidence” to back that claim up.

So, what was the excess death figure for 2018 year against the previous five (not the winter excess now, the whole year excess - there’s a difference) and what was the figure for 2020 (same statement)?
 

essex man

Member
Location
colchester
Why don’t you tell us? You’ve claimed the numbers show nothing unusual, yet you won’t provide your “evidence” to back that claim up.

So, what was the excess death figure for 2018 year against the previous five (not the winter excess now, the whole year excess - there’s a difference) and what was the figure for 2020 (same statement)?
I have previously supplied all these figures, just look them up.
As previously said, no point in talking about excess deaths unless you understand the metric
 

Highland Mule

Member
Livestock Farmer
I have previously supplied all these figures, just look them up.
As previously said, no point in talking about excess deaths unless you understand the metric
I do understand thanks, and the data I have found (supplied by reputable sources) shows exactly the opposite of what you claim but never back up with evidence. Oh, and FYI, youtube isn’t a source.
 

Trutti

Member
I understand that a lot think those are all covid but a large proportion are of our own making which needs focusing on so we don’t make the same mistakes next time
This might be helpful. There are two numbers…excess deaths and excess deaths with covid mentioned on death certificate.…one is part of the other. It then leads on to reduction in life expectancy for the last reporting period…a drop of 8 months after decades of an upward trend….something happened. I refer you to the institute of actuaries figures…easily found online. This is raw data, ie…number of deaths and age For the period. There are also forecasts which make concerning reading.
 

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Raider112

Member
I understand that a lot think those are all covid but a large proportion are of our own making which needs focusing on so we don’t make the same mistakes next time
I don't think anyone believes they were all covid, they were excess deaths not covid deaths. I don't think anyone is saying we did everything correctly but the numbers we are seeing now show how stupid it would have been to let it run early on. Imagine this number of cases when we had the early version of covid. Numbers of covid and non covid deaths would have been catastrophic. Plenty don't show on the death figures but are still suffering, look at Kate garraways husband or my friend in his 40s who is now trying to build his strength up more than a year later by going on long walks over a year on from catching covid. 2 of my family are in those excess deaths who didn't have covid but probably died due to the NHS restrictions and pressure, there would have been many more like that if we had ignored it.
 
I don't think anyone believes they were all covid, they were excess deaths not covid deaths. I don't think anyone is saying we did everything correctly but the numbers we are seeing now show how stupid it would have been to let it run early on. Imagine this number of cases when we had the early version of covid. Numbers of covid and non covid deaths would have been catastrophic. Plenty don't show on the death figures but are still suffering, look at Kate garraways husband or my friend in his 40s who is now trying to build his strength up more than a year later by going on long walks over a year on from catching covid. 2 of my family are in those excess deaths who didn't have covid but probably died due to the NHS restrictions and pressure, there would have been many more like that if we had ignored it.
I dont think any of us said it was just a cold either :)
 

oval

Member
I don't think anyone believes they were all covid, they were excess deaths not covid deaths. I don't think anyone is saying we did everything correctly but the numbers we are seeing now show how stupid it would have been to let it run early on. Imagine this number of cases when we had the early version of covid. Numbers of covid and non covid deaths would have been catastrophic. Plenty don't show on the death figures but are still suffering, look at Kate garraways husband or my friend in his 40s who is now trying to build his strength up more than a year later by going on long walks over a year on from catching covid. 2 of my family are in those excess deaths who didn't have covid but probably died due to the NHS restrictions and pressure, there would have been many more like that if we had ignored it.
There are plenty of the public who think they are all covid as thats all they have herd for a prolonged period of time
 

oval

Member
I think you are on about covid deaths? We are talking about the number of people who have died for any reason here.
The focus on covid has led to deaths which had nothing to do with covid this needs fully scrutinised for the future you can’t pat someone on the back for saving a covid case as someone else died who couldn’t be seen or had been scared into not seeking help it wasn’t handled well from the start
 

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