Gleadell Daily Grain Comment - 18th May 2016

ADM Agriculture

Member
Trade
Location
Lincolnshire
  • US wheat futures saw gains yesterday as funds covered some shorts and Soybeans again saw a bounce in day trading. Both wheat & Soy are down again today to similar numbers from this time yesterday.
  • Yesterday the German Co-Op Association reduced forecast German wheat crop 16/17 production by 500k mt on the back of lowered acreage.
  • Corn saw gains for the 4th consecutive day yesterday with Soy & Wheat, as wetter and cooler weather in the US short term forecast puts planting in doubt however these are well ahead of the 5-yr avg and only marginally behind last years exceptional rate.
  • The UK physical markets remains unchanged on FW for most with the announcement that the ethanol plant Ensus, North of England, is expected to have a trial period late in this season in order to test new hardware in the plant pushing local prices up. FB is not heavily discussed across the country.
  • UK Retail Sales figures are released tomorrow @ 0930BST and Canadian Inflation Rate YoY figures are released on Friday @ 1330BST.
  • The US sees a cooler and wetter forecast in the 5-day with a dryer 2-week outlook. EU & FSU/W Russia sees rains in the nearby with normal temps for the season. Central Braz stays dry in the 7-day while Aus and Arg see some rains in the timeframe.


Last Trade Settle:

London May ’16 Settle £106.35/mt –up £1.05/mt from previous close (Expiry 23/5/16).

London July ’16 Settle £107.60/mt – up £1.05/mt from previous close.

London Nov ’16 Settle £118.15/mt – up £1.05/mt from previous close.



Paris Sep ’16 Settle €164.75/mt – up €1.75/mt from previous close.

Paris Dec ’16 Settle €169.50/mt – up €1.00 /mt from previous close.



Currency today:

GBP EUR 1.2789

EUR GBP 0.7815

EUR USD 1.1265

GBP USD 1.4413
 

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