Gleadell Daily Grain Comment - Tuesday 10th May 2016

ADM Agriculture

Member
Trade
Location
Lincolnshire
  • The weekly US crop progress report was released last night with Corn planted @ 64% (last season @ 69%, 5 yr avg. @ 50%), Corn emerged @ 27% (last season @ 23% & 5 yr avg. @ 17%), winter wheat condition @ 62% Gd/Exc (last season @ 44%, last week 61%). Generally US feed grains for new season looking in relatively good condition.

  • Analysts estimates for this afternoons USDA S&D report, @ 1700BST, look for a slight increase in All US wheat production YoY and 15/16 US ending stocks with a similar picture on the global front. The big interest will be around the Corn production figure following South American weather issues but a large forecast planted area in the US.

  • The UK market continues to hold relatively level on old crop wheat physical prices while old crop barley sees reduced demand following a lull in exports for the back end of the season.

  • UK Balance of Trade figures are released today @ 0930BST, BoE Interest Decision and Quantitative Easing reported on Thursday @ 12000BST.

  • The forecast sees little change from yesterday.


Last Trade Settle:

London May '16 Settle £105.95/mt –down £1.05/mt from previous close (Expiry 23/5/16).

London July ’16 Settle £106.55/mt

London Nov ’16 Settle £116.40/mt – down £1.10/mt from previous close.

Paris May '16 Settle €146.75/mt – down €4.25/mt from previous close (Expiry 10/5/16).

Paris Sep ’16 Settle €159.50/mt

Paris Dec ’16 Settle €166.00/mt – down €1.50/mt from previous close.


Currency today:

GBP EUR 1.2659

EUR GBP 0.7896

EUR USD 1.1387

GBP USD 1.4422
 

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