- Location
- Leicestershire
BBC monthly outlook - taken with my usual pinch of salt, but hopefully better things to come after this week!
United Kingdom
Warnings
Monthly Outlook
Monday 4 September Published at 10:00
Monthly Outlook
Summary
September to calm down after boisterous start
September has had an unsettled start, and further rain and strong winds are expected until around the 14th. After that, things should turn more settled, especially over England and Wales, with drier spells prevailing. Over Scotland and Northern Ireland these settled periods are expected to be more short-lived.
Monday 11 September—Sunday 17 September
Cool, showery and often windy. Drier later.
The week begins with a yellow warning in place for southwest England and South Wales for strong westerly winds. But all parts will be cool and breezy with heavy and locally thundery showers, with sunny intervals in between.
Tuesday daytime will see sunshine and fewer showers, before wet and very windy weather sweeps eastwards overnight, followed by westerly gales in some areas - these winds may be disruptive.
Wednesday and Thursday will be blustery, cool days with heavy showers in most areas, but by next weekend the weather will be turning calmer with more dry weather around, although there could still be a few showers - in southeast England on Saturday, and in the northwest on Sunday.
Monday 18 September—Sunday 24 September
More settled - and a little warmer
By the 18th high pressure will be bringing mostly dry weather to much of the country. Temperatures will be back up to normal by day but with some chilly nights leading to early fog in places. North and west Scotland and Northern Ireland will keep more cloud and patchy rain at times. This pattern is expected to last through much of the week, with a lot of dry weather with some sunshine. Many places should become rather warm but still with some overnight fog taking a while to shift in the mornings. By the weekend there's the likelihood that unsettled weather over N and W Scotland will spread across all parts, with the breeze increasing and temperatures dropping back to normal.
Monday 25 September—Sunday 8 October
Maintaining the trend for plenty of dry weather
In contrast to August and early September, for the end of the month and the start of October there's a signal that high pressure will dominate the UK's weather patterns. This would bring predominantly dry weather with variable amounts of cloud and some sunshine. Along with this pattern come chilly nights with some early ground frosts and the continuing prospect of foggy starts in places. Overall, temperatures won't be far from normal and rainfall totals will be below average. The one caveat to this optimistic story is that we are having an active Atlantic hurricane season. Occasionally, the remnants of these tropical systems can have significant downstream impacts on the weather patterns over northwest Europe, even if they don't cross the Atlantic, so confidence in the longer range forecasts can never be high at this time of year.
United Kingdom
Warnings
Monthly Outlook
Monday 4 September Published at 10:00
Monthly Outlook
Summary
September to calm down after boisterous start
September has had an unsettled start, and further rain and strong winds are expected until around the 14th. After that, things should turn more settled, especially over England and Wales, with drier spells prevailing. Over Scotland and Northern Ireland these settled periods are expected to be more short-lived.
Monday 11 September—Sunday 17 September
Cool, showery and often windy. Drier later.
The week begins with a yellow warning in place for southwest England and South Wales for strong westerly winds. But all parts will be cool and breezy with heavy and locally thundery showers, with sunny intervals in between.
Tuesday daytime will see sunshine and fewer showers, before wet and very windy weather sweeps eastwards overnight, followed by westerly gales in some areas - these winds may be disruptive.
Wednesday and Thursday will be blustery, cool days with heavy showers in most areas, but by next weekend the weather will be turning calmer with more dry weather around, although there could still be a few showers - in southeast England on Saturday, and in the northwest on Sunday.
Monday 18 September—Sunday 24 September
More settled - and a little warmer
By the 18th high pressure will be bringing mostly dry weather to much of the country. Temperatures will be back up to normal by day but with some chilly nights leading to early fog in places. North and west Scotland and Northern Ireland will keep more cloud and patchy rain at times. This pattern is expected to last through much of the week, with a lot of dry weather with some sunshine. Many places should become rather warm but still with some overnight fog taking a while to shift in the mornings. By the weekend there's the likelihood that unsettled weather over N and W Scotland will spread across all parts, with the breeze increasing and temperatures dropping back to normal.
Monday 25 September—Sunday 8 October
Maintaining the trend for plenty of dry weather
In contrast to August and early September, for the end of the month and the start of October there's a signal that high pressure will dominate the UK's weather patterns. This would bring predominantly dry weather with variable amounts of cloud and some sunshine. Along with this pattern come chilly nights with some early ground frosts and the continuing prospect of foggy starts in places. Overall, temperatures won't be far from normal and rainfall totals will be below average. The one caveat to this optimistic story is that we are having an active Atlantic hurricane season. Occasionally, the remnants of these tropical systems can have significant downstream impacts on the weather patterns over northwest Europe, even if they don't cross the Atlantic, so confidence in the longer range forecasts can never be high at this time of year.