Long term weather forecast into Feb

[Chap]

Anyone got a reliable source going forward of more than 2 weeks. Or is it toss a coin....... have heard that feb could be generally higher pressure.

 

[Wombat]

When I spoke to the weather web team last week they thought it might start to improve from the 17th

 

[teslacoils]

Tbh this week wasn't supposed to be anything like as crack as it's about to become.

 

[jondear]

When I spoke to the weather web team last week they thought it might start to improve from the 17th

Which month!

 

[Wombat]

Which month!

No idea but fingers crossed for a 76/2018 again

 

[Goweresque]

That far out you'd have as much accuracy throwing darts blindfold at a board with various outcomes written on it. I've come to the conclusion that any forecast longer than 10 days is pure guesswork. Occasionally they'll be right, but more often than not wrong. Weather, especially in the UK, is a fundamentally chaotic system that can end up at two polar opposite outcomes from the same starting position, with just a minuscule change in inputs.

 

[Pilatus]

That far out you'd have as much accuracy throwing darts blindfold at a board with various outcomes written on it. I've come to the conclusion that any forecast longer than 10 days is pure guesswork. Occasionally they'll be right, but more often than not wrong. Weather, especially in the UK, is a fundamentally chaotic system that can end up at two polar opposite outcomes from the same starting position, with just a minuscule change in inputs.

Unfortunately in the 21st century how right you are.
Although I am now retired from farming ,with the greatest respect to the Met Office, and the independent weather forecasters on TFF , I think they have NO comprehension of how much a 7 day weather forecast ,yet a lone a monthly ahead weather forecast, can effect /save the agricultural industry/ individual farmers,thousands/ millions of pounds.