Long term weather forecast into Feb

Chap

Member
Anyone got a reliable source going forward of more than 2 weeks. Or is it toss a coin....... have heard that feb could be generally higher pressure.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
That far out you'd have as much accuracy throwing darts blindfold at a board with various outcomes written on it. I've come to the conclusion that any forecast longer than 10 days is pure guesswork. Occasionally they'll be right, but more often than not wrong. Weather, especially in the UK, is a fundamentally chaotic system that can end up at two polar opposite outcomes from the same starting position, with just a minuscule change in inputs.
 

Pilatus

Member
Location
cotswolds
That far out you'd have as much accuracy throwing darts blindfold at a board with various outcomes written on it. I've come to the conclusion that any forecast longer than 10 days is pure guesswork. Occasionally they'll be right, but more often than not wrong. Weather, especially in the UK, is a fundamentally chaotic system that can end up at two polar opposite outcomes from the same starting position, with just a minuscule change in inputs.
Unfortunately in the 21st century how right you are.
Although I am now retired from farming ,with the greatest respect to the Met Office, and the independent weather forecasters on TFF , I think they have NO comprehension of how much a 7 day weather forecast ,yet a lone a monthly ahead weather forecast, can effect /save the agricultural industry/ individual farmers,thousands/ millions of pounds.
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

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Red Tractor drops launch of green farming scheme amid anger from farmers

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As reported in Independent


quote: “Red Tractor has confirmed it is dropping plans to launch its green farming assurance standard in April“

read the TFF thread here: https://thefarmingforum.co.uk/index.php?threads/gfc-was-to-go-ahead-now-not-going-ahead.405234/
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