Sheep sector at huge risk from ‘hard Brexit’ stance taken by PM

llamedos

New Member
nsa.JPG


Sheep sector at huge risk from ‘hard Brexit’ stance taken by Prime Minister

The National Sheep Association (NSA) is warning that the Government’s decision to pursue ‘hard Brexit’ presents a huge risk to the UK sheep industry. This is due to the likely combination of disruption to existing trade structures, the reliance of the meat processing sector on migrant labour, and competition from free trade deals.

Phil Stocker, NSA Chief Executive, says: “It was inevitable the EU referendum result would mean our existing trade structures would face disruption, but NSA has consistently been of the view that ongoing tariff-free access to the EU market was essential to avoid disruption and price volatility. We made it clear we wanted to remain in the single market, in the knowledge too that our industry relies heavily on migrant labour.
“Tuesday’s announcement by Prime Minister Theresa May presents a huge risk to the UK sheep industry when she talks of the ‘freest possible trade’ but very clearly outside of the single market. This suggests the acceptance of a level of tariffs, the result of which will be industry paying for any market access it can get to work economically. This is a continuation of passing costs back to industry within a free market economy and is an approach that clashes with our current policy of the provision of plentiful food on shop shelves at competitively low prices.”

NSA highlights the sheep sector as one at particular risk, as up to 40% of UK lamb production is exported each year, with 96% of that going into the EU single market.

Mr Stocker continues: “NSA would like to once again remind Ministers and policy makers that sheep farming is an essential primary industry that contributes positively to food production, environmental and landscape management, provides the foundation for much of our farmland ecology, and supports many rural communities and economies. Tariffs placed on sheep meat exports into the EU would dramatically reduce our competitiveness and the volumes sold there. The large-scale processing end of our industry, which has been encouraged by policy direction and market drivers and which drives much of our export volume, is massively reliant on migrant labour and has little hope of filling that labour demand effectively with the UK labour force.
“We have repeatedly highlighted the value of our industry and said clearly what we need to continue to thrive into the future. We understand we have to leave the negotiators to negotiate and that they have to set out a starting position – but it appears that the starting position is to say we want it all and refuse to consider any plan B. Unlike during the referendum campaign, hopefully plan B is in the drawer – because if it isn’t the cliff edge looms in terms of how we currently operate.
“Despite calls that we want Britain to be a major global player, our sheep industry may need to consider turning away from such big aspirations and focus far more on growing and protecting our domestic UK market. That’s not the current model and would require substantial restructuring of the industry at all levels, entirely changing the direction that has been invested in so heavily for a long time.”
 

Wooly

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Romney Marsh
Some people are so depressing.............they need our sheep and we want to sell them ..........just as our country wants to drive BMWs and Mercs and they want to sell them.

It's now up to the dopey people in power to sort the deal.


So how did the sheep industry cope before we joined the EEC? I'm sure they were more profitable then than they are now.
 

taff

Member
I'm worried about it all, is there a future for us young ones , we have just taken over a farm on a fbt , grassed the lot down and upped sheep numbers, stretching us to the limit , all we want to do is farm . Surely they are not just going to throw us to the dogs?
Yes this is worrying times but just maybe for us younger keener and more adaptable types this might be the shake up our industry needs to push out the older none profitable and un efficient farmers with the change in subsidys rules there could be lots of opportunities for expansion out there if you are good a what you do you will survive tough times are whats needed sometimes in order to start positive change.
And also are there any other nations where sheep numbers are growing massively if no then surely there will still be a demand somewhere for our sheep meat especially with growing populations world wide just a thought!!
 

Nithsdale

Member
Livestock Farmer
Some people are so depressing.............they need our sheep and we want to sell them ..........just as our country wants to drive BMWs and Mercs and they want to sell them.

It's now up to the dopey people in power to sort the deal.


So how did the sheep industry cope before we joined the EEC? I'm sure they were more profitable then than they are now.


Sadly we aren't selling our lamb to those wanting to sell us BMWs...


We are dealing with the French who upto now have HAD to take a lot of our lamb. A fact they've been unhappy with for a while.
 
@taff I think longer term you are right but very tight schedule for specific trade deals to be in place by spring 2019. There was talk of a revised trade deal with the EU by 2022, so three years of WTO rules?

@Wooly did you notice in the PM's speech there was specific mention of special rules for financial services and the car industry? That's where the priorities lie.
 

spin cycle

Member
Location
north norfolk
we can all go and work in car factories as they'll be no german cars....or raise beef cos they'll be no roi beef....or put up polytunnels to grow veg cos they'll be no spanish...
.....and they can have our bankers who,i'm sure, will happily patronise them about how vital they are ....at least until they need a bailout that makes farm subs look like pocket money
 

Nithsdale

Member
Livestock Farmer
Germany a growing market for lamb, especially with all the muslim immigrants.


There's potential growing markets everywhere... But France is our largest customer.


I heard NZ is very keen to do a trade deal with the UK - I wonder why!!

If our politicians had any balls (metaphorically in the case of May, obviously) and commitment to UK ag. then NZ lamb could be sent packing, once and for all!
 

GTB

Never Forgotten
Honorary Member
Some people are so depressing.............they need our sheep and we want to sell them ..........just as our country wants to drive BMWs and Mercs and they want to sell them.

It's now up to the dopey people in power to sort the deal.


So how did the sheep industry cope before we joined the EEC? I'm sure they were more profitable then than they are now.
I agree. But I can't help thinking the govt will manage to feck it up somehow.
 

hally

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
cumbria
Yes this is worrying times but just maybe for us younger keener and more adaptable types this might be the shake up our industry needs to push out the older none profitable and un efficient farmers with the change in subsidys rules there could be lots of opportunities for expansion out there if you are good a what you do you will survive tough times are whats needed sometimes in order to start positive change.
And also are there any other nations where sheep numbers are growing massively if no then surely there will still be a demand somewhere for our sheep meat especially with growing populations world wide just a thought!!
It's a stereotype that "older" farmers are unefficient and unprofitable, experience comes with age and I often see older farmers around here that can outfarm the young ones. They are also financially able to adapt there businesses to new challenges should they arrive whilst the newer businesses are often over reliant on borrowing to do so.
 

Nithsdale

Member
Livestock Farmer
@taff I think longer term you are right but very tight schedule for specific trade deals to be in place by spring 2019. There was talk of a revised trade deal with the EU by 2022, so three years of WTO rules?

@Wooly did you notice in the PM's speech there was specific mention of special rules for financial services and the car industry? That's where the priorities lie.


As a member of the EU, we can not negotiate our own trade agreements with any other nation...

So technically we can't agree anything, with anyone, until we leave the EU - except for our deal with the EU, which we will negotiate as of triggering article 50.
 

hally

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
cumbria
There's potential growing markets everywhere... But France is our largest customer.


I heard NZ is very keen to do a trade deal with the UK - I wonder why!!

If our politicians had any balls (metaphorically in the case of May, obviously) and commitment to UK ag. then NZ lamb could be sent packing, once and for all!
Spot on
 

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