Volatile day for grains following US open - 05/07

CRM AgriCommodities

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
UK
Subscribe to this report direct to your mailbox

Cereals


  • Grains were mixed through the morning before an explosive open to the US markets after the July 4th holiday, which saw US spring wheat trade up 50c$/bu before profit taking led to sharp declines [See Chart of the Day #1].
  • In the wake of the US wheat markets, Nov-17 UK LIFFE feed wheat touched a fresh contract high of £153/T before settling lower whilst Euronext wheat traded above 183€/T for the first time since November 2015 on the front month.
  • Corn prices followed a similar trend, albeit not so dramatic, but still the trade is starting to factor in damage to US corn as hot and dry conditions spread through midwest.
  • Profit taking was the main driver today rather than a change in the weather forecasts as funds sold long positions which were taken pre-weekend and early into the US open.
  • Farmer surveys continue to show a sharp deterioration in spring wheat crop conditions in the US.
  • US EPA are expected to keep the renewable fuel blending targets unchanged at around 19.24 billion gallons.
  • Egypt purchased 410KT of wheat of which 350KT Russian and 60KT Romanian at an average price of $200.43/T on a FOB basis vs $193.11/T on June 22nd.


Oilseeds

  • After testing the technical resistance of 372€/T, Aug-17 Euronext rapeseed closed nearly unchanged amid lower energy prices and the rapid progress of the EU harvest.
  • Crude oil prices drifted lower as it appeared that Russia are not going to be supportive of current production cuts.
  • A reduced palm production outlook has helped to firm prices and kept rapeseed prices supported along with soybeans.
  • Soybean prices have also been support today as weather risk continue to spread through the US.
Chart of the Day #1: Dec-17 Minneapolis Wheat (hourly, c$/bu)

Futures & Options prices
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 105 40.2%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 96 36.8%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 39 14.9%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 5 1.9%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 3 1.1%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 13 5.0%

May Event: The most profitable farm diversification strategy 2024 - Mobile Data Centres

  • 1,836
  • 32
With just a internet connection and a plug socket you too can join over 70 farms currently earning up to £1.27 ppkw ~ 201% ROI

Register Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-mo...2024-mobile-data-centres-tickets-871045770347

Tuesday, May 21 · 10am - 2pm GMT+1

Location: Village Hotel Bury, Rochdale Road, Bury, BL9 7BQ

The Farming Forum has teamed up with the award winning hardware manufacturer Easy Compute to bring you an educational talk about how AI and blockchain technology is helping farmers to diversify their land.

Over the past 7 years, Easy Compute have been working with farmers, agricultural businesses, and renewable energy farms all across the UK to help turn leftover space into mini data centres. With...
Top