Agriculture in the next 100 years

Kevtherev · Jun 12, 2017

From this

To this
Where does everyone see agriculture heading in the next century?
Will we see less hill sheep/livestock due to the environmental pressures/naturalists?
Will we see less suckler cows due to TB and other reasons and more intensive reared beef coming from the dairy industry?
Will we see a massive growth in poultry eggs and broilers ?
Will we see more genetic advances in crops and livestock?
BPS?
Discuss.

Kevtherev · Jun 12, 2017

Don't mention brexit

MrNoo · Jun 12, 2017

We will just become "Park Keepers" all food will be imported. Rules and regulations will be more plentiful and I suspect most farms will have been turned into housing estates! Farming/farmers will almost be extinct in 100 years time.

multi power · Jun 12, 2017

Perhaps we will have direct drilling competitions instead of ploughing matches

JP1 · Jun 12, 2017

I think a start will be small field scale robots. Things that can pick bugs off leaves or hoe without chemicals.

Maybe more part-time livestock farms, more intensive / mechanised

I'm hoping more small scale artisan style food production and distribution - although it may go completely the other way.

No combustion engines

Perversely I can see more urban dwellers clamouring to get in to the outside whenever they can - gardens, parks, mountain walks even helping on community farms

I have no crystal ball but at one time the food manufacturers dictated how the supermarket's would handle and distribute their products, now it is supermarkets. Amazon / whatever may just reflect ultimate customer choice; maybe even daily shopping delivered by drone.

Henarar · Jun 12, 2017

less folk will be farming a bigger area each and produce much more for much less

bobk · Jun 12, 2017

My bit will be houses hopefully.

Kevtherev · Jun 12, 2017

More intensive type units run by fewer staff like is already happening with egg production

Tractor_dealer · Jun 12, 2017

Saw this on the web

roscoe erf · Jun 12, 2017

Kevtherev said:
View attachment 534260
From this

View attachment 534262
To this
Where does everyone see agriculture heading in the next century?
Will we see less hill sheep/livestock due to the environmental pressures/naturalists?
Will we see less suckler cows due to TB and other reasons and more intensive reared beef coming from the dairy industry?
Will we see a massive growth in poultry eggs and broilers ?
Will we see more genetic advances in crops and livestock?
BPS?
Discuss.

back to this

topground · Jun 12, 2017

Farmers will increasingly take all of the risks while Supermarkets dictate how they farm. All livestock farming will be vertically integrated with livestock markets limited to niche rare breed sales.Those who work the land will be much like the serfs of the middle ages dictated to by the robber barons as manifested by the suoermarket cartels.

Edit: Unless farmers learn to cooperate with marketing and dealing with the mass rejection of assurance schemes passed off as promoting the product when in fact they are market manipulation tools controlled by the buyers in the manner of protection rackets.

multi power · Jun 12, 2017

roscoe erf said:
back to this

But reversible plough and GPS this time round

SRRC · Jun 12, 2017

Arable, you'll have a self driving electric tillage machine and a couple of drones per 1000 acres and even longer ski holidays.
Livestock will be raised in the animal equivalent of a hydroponic greenhouse, but you'll still end up covered in sh!t.

bobk · Jun 12, 2017

topground said:
Farmers will increasingly take all of the risks while Supermarkets dictate how they farm. All livestock farming will be vertically integrated with livestock markets limited to niche rare breed sales.Those who work the land will be much like the serfs of the middle ages dictated to by the robber barons as manifested by the suoermarket cartels.

Or we'll take a Korean nuclear bomb up the jacksie..

Dead Rabbits · Jun 13, 2017

Kevtherev said:
View attachment 534260
From this

View attachment 534262
To this
Where does everyone see agriculture heading in the next century?
Will we see less hill sheep/livestock due to the environmental pressures/naturalists?
Will we see less suckler cows due to TB and other reasons and more intensive reared beef coming from the dairy industry?
Will we see a massive growth in poultry eggs and broilers ?
Will we see more genetic advances in crops and livestock?
BPS?
Discuss.

I won't be the only 25 year old I know that wants to farm. Parents will brag to other parents that their kid wants to be a farmer. Guidance counselors will no longer lament 'A bright young mind being wasted on the farm'. Farmers will no longer be expected to take a vow of poverty. No more incredulous remarks will be made when a farmer pursues a white collar salary.
There will be no subsidies, there will be no government involvement in farm market place manipulation. There will be no need for environmental regulation of farming.

A strong focus on the soil, how it works, what lives in it, how we can improve it, how we can make more of it. The true potential that exists in our soil will be realized and marveled at.
Inputs that are derived from petroleum will be considered archaic and backwards. Fungicides and pesticides will be forgotten terms. There will be no 'organic' or 'conventional', there will just be farming. Separating livestock from the land for their entire lives will be unheard of. Separating land from livestock will also be nonexistent.

Just a few thoughts

Kiwi Pete · Jun 13, 2017

Dead Rabbits said:
I won't be the only 25 year old I know that wants to farm. Parents will brag to other parents that their kid wants to be a farmer. Guidance counselors will no longer lament 'A bright young mind being wasted on the farm'. Farmers will no longer be expected to take a vow of poverty. No more incredulous remarks will be made when a farmer pursues a white collar salary.
There will be no subsidies, there will be no government involvement in farm market place manipulation. There will be no need for environmental regulation of farming.

A strong focus on the soil, how it works, what lives in it, how we can improve it, how we can make more of it. The true potential that exists in our soil will be realized and marveled at.
Inputs that are derived from petroleum will be considered archaic and backwards. Fungicides and pesticides will be forgotten terms. There will be no 'organic' or 'conventional', there will just be farming. Separating livestock from the land for their entire lives will be unheard of. Separating land from livestock will also be nonexistent.

Just a few thoughts

Good post, saved me typing it!

Kiwi Pete · Jun 13, 2017

I think my views align fairly closely with @Dead Rabbits post above.
Seems to be a common theme of more and more tractor tasks at present, more hours per acre; I can definitely see that phasing itself out, the most fuel efficient system is one that doesn't require fuel, not the biggest kit.
Will be much more "closed loop" style farming, without trucking things all around the country, fuel costs are only going one way.. if you need it, you'll have to grow it or make it- or make do without it.
I can forsee the day when chemicals and fertilisers and fuel are the last things farmers need to succeed, like they used to be.
The oceans already have what's washed off the land so it makes sense to take it back.
Kelp washes up on the beach full of minerals, vitamins, aminos and nutrients, it's trying to get back home!
Can also forsee a day when you need a permit (and a damn good reason) to sink a plough in the ground, some proper funded research into how the soil works is centuries overdue IMO. They've researched Mars in more depth than our own topsoil or oceans.
Perhaps think of a day when most of the developed world is either obese or gluten intolerant.. which would reduce the demand for sugar and wheat and increase demand for the net protein gain of grazing livestock.. more species than just sheep and cattle, rabbits goats poultry etc
Basically a reversal of the progress made to date, where the majority of our landmass is growing what is oversupplied.
If people want good slow grown veg, grass finished beef and chicken, why grow corn and wheat and expect riches to follow?

In summary, chickens and cannabis are what the world wants. Can't beat a world with the munchies, and chicken patties.
People pay more for what they want than what they need.

milkloss · Jun 13, 2017

More wars will be fought over land and water. Developing nations will be given more investment and support to grow food than the developed ones thereby effectively exporting pollution, making use of cheap labour and avoiding regulation.

The thing that confuses me is how the developed world will be regulated, taxed and stifled through environmental concerns and yet food cost will have to remain as it is today. The developing nations will set the price of food, hungry mouths are angry mouths so we will never be compatible with world market prices.

Don't forget there is plenty of underperforming land around the world that could and will be brought into production. We all got stung a few years ago with the 'growing world population will need food' mantra that was going to be farmings saviour. That so far has shown to be a load of balls.

Kiwi Pete · Jun 13, 2017

Kevtherev said:
Don't mention brexit

Northeastfarmer · Jun 13, 2017

I'll probably be dead in 100 years so I'm not bothered

Agriculture in the next 100 years

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Up to 25%

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50-75%

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100% I’ve had enough of farming!

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