Agriculture in the next 100 years

CornishTone

Member
BASIS
Location
Cornwall
Think we will see farms getting that big that itll be big businesses that are only able to buy them, like what the chinese are at in australia.

There is increasing public and political resistance to Chinese business interests in Ag over here.

At what point do you stop selling off your food production capacity to a foreign power? It soon becomes a strategic issue rather than simply one of free trade.
 

glasshouse

Member
Location
lothians
Australia 2050
 

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manhill

Member
I spend a lot of time thinking about this topic - some great opinion here already - will try not to repeat. All of this is prediction and opinion mixed with having an overview of how things have happened in other industries (manufacturing) and the studies being conducted all over the world.

Technology is coming at this sector. Developed world farming will be the place that takes advantage of this and will lead the charge in refining techniques, making the machinery more reliable, driving down prices on the road to mass production. Early adopters will seem crazy (as they do in any industry) until they prove they are making more money.

I think commodities markets as they stand will be overhauled and traceability of what has happened to the produce being more important; the internet enabling these deals to be done without traders.

Earth Observation (satellites, high altitude drones and balloons etc) is becoming more and more prevalent, ever cheaper and more 'real time' at a time when computing power and image recognition has never been cheaper. Farming will leverage this to spot problems as they happen. Connected devices in the field can manage moisture, temperature, pathogen detection and deploy targeted sprays.

Battery powered solar crawlers the size of dining tables will wander up and down arable land day and night tending crops, weeding and measuring on a plant by plant basis. In field robots monitoring animal behaviour and health beaming data back to base.

Livestock will have fitbit-style health monitors/implants and we will see a reduction in disease outbreaks.

Weather forecasting will be increasingly accurate and we may even be able to control parts of it.

All that was said above about soil health and study will come to the fore, for instance the soil flora and fauna (yeasts and funguses) and what it is that makes a soil good at growing what. Increased knowledge of the hundreds of variables on farm and what does and what doesn't make a difference.

Alerts from computers that are choosing the best days to do what operations and in time lots of these operations will need little to no human intervention. Lots of this stuff has to come from an opening up of anonymised data effectively increasing field trials from a few hectares to hundreds of thousands.

I think to that there will be a move to eat efficient protein; animals that make protein quickest. This starts looking like insects, molluscs and squid. So who knows what a maggot or squid farm looks like?

I love to chat through this stuff - it's my favourite thing to do! I am giving a quick talk about some of this stuff on the NFU stand tomorrow at Cereals...

Farmers will get so fat with lack of exercise they'll need mechanical aids to lift them into their tractors--sorry, cars--(manned tractors will be extinct).
 

Campani

Member
I think less than 100 farm businesses will produce 98% of the food eaten in Europe. And these businesses will be focussed on keeping their shareholders happy.
 
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Where does everyone see agriculture heading in the next century?
Will we see less hill sheep/livestock due to the environmental pressures/naturalists?
Will we see less suckler cows due to TB and other reasons and more intensive reared beef coming from the dairy industry?
Will we see a massive growth in poultry eggs and broilers ?
Will we see more genetic advances in crops and livestock?
BPS?
Discuss.
More changes to come
 

GTB

Never Forgotten
Honorary Member
Let's worry about the next five years to start with. The country is in a mess what with Brexit and all the other things that are going on at the moment. Yes, people will always have to eat but when they're short of money they don't care where the food comes from.
 

Penmoel

Member
I see the remaining 27 are starting to panic over Brexit, this seems to be kept quiet by the BBC...
EU farm subsidies face chop due to Brexit budget hole...

"The EU is just starting to plan its future seven-year budget, its first without the UK. Britain contributes €10bn-12bn more per year than it gets out, meaning its departure from the EU will leave a gaping hole. The current budget ends in 2020, with the UK slated to leave in 2019."

taken from here
http://www.independent.ie/business/...-chop-due-to-brexit-budget-hole-35876636.html
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

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