The cartel are coming for you.

delilah

Member
Do you not understand economics?

Only to degree level. Mea culpa.

Whereas if there's half a dozen producers of X and half a dozen buyers, then the playing field is levelled.

Ah, like pigs ? Got it (y) .

Where are supermarkets going to get milk if one producer controlling a third of the milk production says 'Pay more or get no milk'?

You're really not understanding vertical integration are you ?
 

delilah

Member
No, you've been telling us that environmentalists have got farmer's back, we should be working together. Well where are the environmentalists now, opposing these moves then?

I can post all night on that. I want you to back up your claim that the cartel want a diverse food system first.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
Answer the question. What examples can you provide of the cartel wanting to maintain a diverse food system ?
I don't know what you determine a 'diverse' food system is. But given the disparity between numbers of supermarkets and numbers of farmers, they could drive a LOT of farmers out of business and still have market power over them. So my guess is that they will drive the numbers of farmers down until they are at a level that if they went further then the remainder would start to gain market power. But it would never be to the point there are half a dozen milk producers in the UK (for example). That would be counterproductive from their point of view.
You're really not understanding vertical integration are you ?

Ah, so Tesco are going to take over farms and run them themselves are they? Good luck with that. I can't see the employees working 60-80 hour weeks in the wind and rain for less than minimum wage. The current system suits the supermarkets down to the ground. You have people working for a pittance and still supplying them with food. You take the small producers out of the equation and make the whole thing more corporate and the costs will go through the roof. Why do you think the Co-Op sold off its farms?
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
I can post all night on that. I want you to back up your claim that the cartel want a diverse food system first.

Thats easy, as I said, they want it diverse enough that they can control it but few enough that each producer is still only a small fraction of the overall market.

And to be honest either way we are screwed. As it is we are at the supermarkets beck and call, and if they drive the producer numbers down to a tenth of what there is now those are still going to be at their beck and call. Maintaining lots of producers isn't going to help one jot.
 

delilah

Member
I don't know what you determine a 'diverse' food system is. But given the disparity between numbers of supermarkets and numbers of farmers, they could drive a LOT of farmers out of business and still have market power over them. So my guess is that they will drive the numbers of farmers down until they are at a level that if they went further then the remainder would start to gain market power. But it would never be to the point there are half a dozen milk producers in the UK (for example). That would be counterproductive from their point of view.

So, no examples then.

Ah, so Tesco are going to take over farms and run them themselves are they?

You don't have to be owned by the cartel, to be owned by the cartel.


Ah, like pigs ? Got it (y) .

You missed that one out. Any thoughts on how that 'level playing field' has panned out ?
 

delilah

Member
Thats easy, as I said, they want it diverse enough that they can control it but few enough that each producer is still only a small fraction of the overall market.

Still no examples of this 'sweet spot' of yours then.

And to be honest either way we are screwed. As it is we are at the supermarkets beck and call, and if they drive the producer numbers down to a tenth of what there is now those are still going to be at their beck and call. Maintaining lots of producers isn't going to help one jot.

Yeah you're really not understanding are you. I'm not talking about 'maintaining lots of producers', i'm talking about the structure of the food chain.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
So, no examples then.
You don't have to be owned by the cartel, to be owned by the cartel.
You missed that one out. Any thoughts on how that 'level playing field' has panned out ?
How many pig producers are there in the UK? According to this (https://ahdb.org.uk/pork/uk-pig-numbers-and-holdings) there were 10k in 2019. Vs 10 supermarket chains. Thats not a level playing field. Come back to me when pig production in the UK is controlled by 10 or 20 producers. Then see who has pricing power.
 

delilah

Member
How many pig producers are there in the UK? According to this (https://ahdb.org.uk/pork/uk-pig-numbers-and-holdings) there were 10k in 2019. Vs 10 supermarket chains. Thats not a level playing field. Come back to me when pig production in the UK is controlled by 10 or 20 producers. Then see who has pricing power.

You got a more meaningful breakdown of that ? We are a pig producer. We have one sow. What you have posted is meaningless.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
I'm not talking about 'maintaining lots of producers', i'm talking about the structure of the food chain.

Your own OP said:
You need to see this as your final warning. Reject consolidation, turn round and move towards diversity in the food chain. Otherwise, last one out can shut the gate.
And
The result will be an escalation in the consolidation that has been taking place for years, as more and more of you fall by the wayside due to the burden of delivering this greenwashing.
You say supermarkets want to drive producers out of the market and you want to stop them doing that. That means maintaining the current level of producer numbers.
 

delilah

Member
That means maintaining the current level of producer numbers.

No. All meaningful change is demand driven. Any policy that says 'we need lots of primary producers' as it's primary aim, is doomed. Again, I am talking about the food chain, not the primary producer. You know this.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
You got a more meaningful breakdown of that ? We are a pig producer. We have one sow. What you have posted is meaningless.

Here's some other figures:


The largest 10 producers of pigs in the UK produce 35% of the total, so on average 3.5% each. That still leaves 65% by far smaller producers, there's 1000 producing 90% of production. Thats not by any stretch of the imagination a level playing field with a dozen supermarket chains.
Again, I am talking about the food chain, not the primary producer. You know this.
You just said that farmers should be aware if they don't want to close the farm gate! How is that not talking about maintaining producer levels?

Do you think that producer levels should stay the same, rise or fall from current levels then?
 

delilah

Member
The largest 10 producers of pigs in the UK produce 35% of the total,

And under your 'sweet spot' scenario the cartel want to keep it at that do they ? They are actively working to stop further concentration ?

You just said that farmers should be aware if they don't want to close the farm gate! How is that not talking about maintaining producer levels?

Do you think that producer levels should stay the same, rise or fall from current levels then?

I am saying that you achieve nothing by using the primary producer as your starting point.

Do you think that producer levels should stay the same, rise or fall from current levels then?

In a more diverse food system, there would be more primary producers.
 

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
Do you not understand economics? If there are thousands of producers of X, and few buyers, then the buyers can aways dictate pricing, because if any one producer refuses to play ball his neighbour probably will. We all know a farmer's worst enemy is his neighbour not the supermarkets.

Whereas if there's half a dozen producers of X and half a dozen buyers, then the playing field is levelled. Where are supermarkets going to get milk if one producer controlling a third of the milk production says 'Pay more or get no milk'?
They import it, and that one big producer suddenly has no market at all. I’ve seen this with carrot growers. There are very few left but they are all held over a barrel to imports. No one dare upset a buyer as it would finish them. This might sound counterintuitive in the conventional economic sense but it’s the actuality.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
In a more diverse food system, there would be more primary producers.

No there wouldn't. If you broke up the supermarkets and there were 50 supermarket chains they would all still have more pricing power than the average farmer. And for there to be more primary producers the average price of farm outputs would have to rise significantly, so a smaller acreage could make a living. And we all know that the one thing the government cares about is cheap food for the masses, so rising output prices by that sort of degree is just not going to be allowed to happen. And ironically if farm output prices went up a lot the first thing that would happen is that corporate money would fly into farming to get a cut of the action and farm sizes would rise not fall. There just isn't a mechanism (in a free market) that allows small producers to make good profits and stops consolidation of holdings at the same time.

And come back to me when your sustain lot have a campaign against Net Zero, because thats what the supermarkets are using to drive all this 'emissions' malarkey.
 

L P

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Newbury
I have been posting about this pincer movement on other threads but you haven't been reading it. You do need to.

https://foodmanagement.today/new-co...-cutting-climate-impact-of-uk-food-and-drink/

The cartel have planted Dave Lewis in WWF UK. His job is to get all of the cartel signed up to this, as he knows that if any of them break rank they wont pull it off.

They are lining you up to take all of the blame for the environmental damage being caused in the food chain. Damage that has got naff all to do with the primary producer. The result will be an escalation in the consolidation that has been taking place for years, as more and more of you fall by the wayside due to the burden of delivering this greenwashing. The end game is to ensure sufficiently few primary producers in each sector that they can effectively manage the numbers as vertically integrated serfs.

You need to see this as your final warning. Reject consolidation, turn round and move towards diversity in the food chain. Otherwise, last one out can shut the gate.
Put your Armadillo helmet down Delilah. It is quite obvious that scratching the surface of our food supply chain will immediately expose that we are the least to blame as producers of local and sustainable food. It will expose the food miles of many non seasonal extravagances, the cheap North Atlantic prawns shipped to the far east to be shelled and returned. The epicentre of sustainable food lies with us, so we need to do our small part in the exercise to farm better.... which in all honesty should not be difficult, technology in agriculture has come on in leaps and bounds since the boom in yield increase. Tesco reaching for financial backup from farmers... are they fleecing us, yes they are if you let them, are they shitting themselves that they just can't put prices up fast enough against competitors to remain market leaders and profitable, almost certainly. If Tesco are in that situation they all are. Maybe, just maybe, we are about to see the biggest devolution in our food supply change recognisable... judging by the massive issue of empty shelves it has already started, and we as British farmers are doing a super job of keeping the bare necessities there.
 

DrWazzock

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lincolnshire
I can see I’ll have to take matters into my own hands. Reinstate the roadside stall. Wish I had never got rid of it. It was the most honest most satisfying form of farming and trading. No RT. No other bollox. And if a customer tells me to eff off or I told one to eff off it didn’t matter as I’d hundreds. Tatty kits always cheap so I’ll be back in the game next year if I can regain my mojo and get the Mrs back on her rocker. That’s what it comes down to. This time next year Rodney. Luvvly jubbly. Nice bit of cash. Know what I mean.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
I can see I’ll have to take matters into my own hands. Reinstate the roadside stall. Wish I had never got rid of it. It was the most honest most satisfying form of farming and trading. No RT. No other bollox. And if a customer tells me to eff off or I told one to eff off it didn’t matter as I’d hundreds. Tatty kits always cheap so I’ll be back in the game next year if I can regain my mojo and get the Mrs back on her rocker. That’s what it comes down to. This time next year Rodney. Luvvly jubbly. Nice bit of cash. Know what I mean.

Except in @delilah world everyone will be doing the same thing (lots of small producers) so they'll all be cutting each others throats just to try and make a living. Sound familiar?
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 110 38.6%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 107 37.5%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 41 14.4%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 6 2.1%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 4 1.4%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 17 6.0%

May Event: The most profitable farm diversification strategy 2024 - Mobile Data Centres

  • 2,947
  • 49
With just a internet connection and a plug socket you too can join over 70 farms currently earning up to £1.27 ppkw ~ 201% ROI

Register Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-mo...2024-mobile-data-centres-tickets-871045770347

Tuesday, May 21 · 10am - 2pm GMT+1

Location: Village Hotel Bury, Rochdale Road, Bury, BL9 7BQ

The Farming Forum has teamed up with the award winning hardware manufacturer Easy Compute to bring you an educational talk about how AI and blockchain technology is helping farmers to diversify their land.

Over the past 7 years, Easy Compute have been working with farmers, agricultural businesses, and renewable energy farms all across the UK to help turn leftover space into mini data centres. With...
Top