Steevo
Member
- Location
- Gloucestershire
Haha, if you believe that chap you’ll believe anything!
Christ it's wet
- Thread starter charlie94
- Start date
Haha, if you believe that chap you’ll believe anything!
Spring oats still to go in here, replacing Winter Beans, so hope you're right.
serf
Member
- Location
- warwickshire
We are all in the same boat ( no pun intended)We've been here 50 years and never known it so wet.OSR flowering and we can't get on the ground,so no fert or sprays,same with the wheat.Had nearly a third of our average rainfall so far and I would imagine some parts of the country would be more.
Struggling to get to some fields to feed ewes and lambs too
You just have to switch off to it in the end and wade through it else it can wind you up ,
it's just pathetic though
Steevo
Member
- Location
- Gloucestershire
He’s a well known media climate scaremongerer.
Attempted to sound credible by naming his business British Meteorological Services as if he is speaking for a public national organisation.
Fair enough, but a desiccating, rainless April is exactly what I have been half expecting well before that GB News interview - in fact ever since last November.
Steevo
Member
- Location
- Gloucestershire
That’s fairly standard for most Aprils!
More often than not we get a spring drought. One reason I stopped growing spring cereals.
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
april 2013 after 2012 we had 8mm
i drilled on26 days starting on the 4 april
- Location
- Essex
I think there's supposed to be something like 1.5 million hectares.
The UK average is around 8 tonnes per ha which would give a yield of 12 million tonnes, assuming both those numbers stay the same.
I wonder what the average yield will be this year
Forecast says wet . wet wet
Nearly
Member
- Location
- North of York
Will the reduction in uk cereals, in say 2mt, be enough to make a difference on a global scale?
So much depends in the next 4 months in terms of weather and behviour of various dickheads around the world.
My little shedfull is for harvest sale and movement so it will be what it will be.
So much depends in the next 4 months in terms of weather and behviour of various dickheads around the world.
My little shedfull is for harvest sale and movement so it will be what it will be.
- Location
- Bedfordshire
Will be a 9MT harvest I think. (Wheat)
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
7 tonnes per ha is more likely
be lucky if 1.4 million ha makes it to harvest
if all the wet places are included the average yield will drop
in 2020 7 tonnes per ha was the average but many used more n when it was cheaper
- Location
- Essex
1.4 x 7 tonnes per hectare is 9.8 million tonnes.
So that can be assumed to be the range (9.8 to 12 million tonnes), plus any spring wheat...
- Location
- Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
yellow belly
Member
- Location
- south west lincolnshire
any average above 7 tonnes is very optimistic unless anther 200000 ha is abandoned pushing the average up
That's exactly what I'm planning to do.
Abandon the 25-30% failed in each field which should put the average yield up close to the 5/10 year average.
Luckily, there's no BPS to fill in this time and the June 4th return, if it still operates, will be far too slow to make any difference.
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It's because of BrexitHave they moved the date back a bit? Ours don't change till the 31st...
Will the reduction in uk cereals, in say 2mt, be enough to make a difference on a global scale?
So much depends in the next 4 months in terms of weather and behviour of various dickheads around the world.
My little shedfull is for harvest sale and movement so it will be what it will be.
2mt is of no relevance to global markets
the big factor on prices will be actual enforcement of Russian sanctions ………. which is unlikely