Combinables Price Tracker

[Hindsight]

Speaking of which....a shortage of flour and price rises were on the news yesterday! Looks like bread up another 50p a loaf!!

Indeed, if I were working for a food manufacturer what better day to 'bury' bad news. It is the fault of the weather - and everyone will agree. Also helps that Mrs May government just also announced ending of public sector pay cap - so customers will have a penny or two in their purse to pay. Joys of economics.

 

[Phil P]

Just gone up another £2.65 to £194.75 for may19, only another five pounds and 25p to go.
My money’s still on July 30th, although may have a side bet for August 7th if no one else has it.

 

[goodevans]

Just gone up another £2.65 to £194.75 for may19, only another five pounds and 25p to go.
My money’s still on July 30th, although may have a side bet for August 7th if no one else has it.

i will wager a downwards correction of £10 a ton first

 

[Woodlander]

I'm not as optimistic as some here. I'll go Sept. 13th 3018. Can we switch to a few beers or a bottle red instead if I win.

Can I change my mind? Just offered 190 ex feed Feb.

 

[franklin]

Speaking of which....a shortage of flour and price rises were on the news yesterday! Looks like bread up another 50p a loaf!!

That would be very naughty of them - there's only about 500g of wheat at best in a proper loaf of bread. So wheat doubling is only going to add a few pennies.

 

[R J]

Anyone got a idea on osr price .
Thanks

 

[crazy_bull]

To think the uproar of £40 increase on fert which meant £3 increase in cost of production

How many will sell at £198x as oppose to wait for the magic £200

Quality is generally very good, bit of screenings here and there but good bushels, shame the yields aren't there as prices will still have been good even if we had good yields the rest of Europe are bad.

C B

 

[SilliamWhale]

To think the uproar of £40 increase on fert which meant £3 increase in cost of production

How many will sell at £198x as oppose to wait for the magic £200

Quality is generally very good, bit of screenings here and there but good bushels, shame the yields aren't there as prices will still have been good even if we had good yields the rest of Europe are bad.

C B

That £40 only lasted a couple of days!

I still think fert will come down again

 

[crazy_bull]

That £40 only lasted a couple of days!

I still think fert will come down again

last year Nitram £175 this year £215 start and now £230-240 ?

Not disagreeing with Urea, that has dropped back from the overcooked £290/mt and think there may be some more to come yet. But doubt it will get below the £210 it started at.

C B

 

[Chae1]

That £40 only lasted a couple of days!

I still think fert will come down again

Why?

Personally cannot see any reasons for it coming back now.

Bought another load 30n 17s at £249 today.

 

[Hampton]

last year Nitram £175 this year £215 start and now £230-240 ?

Not disagreeing with Urea, that has dropped back from the overcooked £290/mt and think there may be some more to come yet. But doubt it will get below the £210 it started at.

C B

Let me know when urea is at the bottom got another load to buy

 

[Clive]

Up another £3 today already

195 May 19

Resistance at 200 or will it fly though that tomorrow ??

 

[Honest john]

I don't think it's going to be a great year for farming.

Most commodities are grown on contracts these days. If you can't meet contract you are again in the hands of the buyer. Contracts are written by the wrong side !!!

If you are not on contract, then you maybe in the hands of a pool trader.

Finally your tonnage will be down.

We only plan to do our best, the rest is in gods hands.

We can only hope God gives a few more seasons like this to restore food producers to a place of power in the chain.

In 2018 £200 goes nowhere. IMO.

 

[Clive]

I don't think it's going to be a great year for farming.

Most commodities are grown on contracts these days. If you can't meet contract you are again in the hands of the buyer. Contracts are written by the wrong side !!!

If you are not on contract, then you maybe in the hands of a pool trader.

Finally your tonnage will be down.

We only plan to do our best, the rest is in gods hands.

We can only hope God gives a few more seasons like this to restore food producers to a place of power in the chain.

In 2018 £200 goes nowhere. IMO.

I don’t believe I god, growing on contracts that limit price or pool traders !

Success or failure is down to me !

But I do agree we shouldn’t really be getting so excited about £200 when inflation adjusted £400 plus should be the norm in 2018

 

[Sonoftheheir]

I don’t believe I god, growing on contracts that limit price or pool traders !

Success or failure is down to me !

But I do agree we shouldn’t really be getting so excited about £200 when inflation adjusted £400 plus should be the norm in 2018

Exactly,The price today is the same as 5 years ago.

Wouldn’t have dreamed of this price a year ago though!

 

[db9go]

I don’t believe I god, growing on contracts that limit price or pool traders !

Success or failure is down to me !

But I do agree we shouldn’t really be getting so excited about £200 when inflation adjusted £400 plus should be the norm in 2018

If we price adjusted number then we should look at other items like tractors in 1981 list price of a ford 7610 4wd £15824 with inflation it would be today £57663.
Today a New Holland T5 4wd list price and with more spec on today

 

[ollie989898]

I don’t believe I god, growing on contracts that limit price or pool traders !

Success or failure is down to me !

But I do agree we shouldn’t really be getting so excited about £200 when inflation adjusted £400 plus should be the norm in 2018

What other commodities have doubled in value over 30 years without huge gains in demand?

 

[SilliamWhale]

last year Nitram £175 this year £215 start and now £230-240 ?

Not disagreeing with Urea, that has dropped back from the overcooked £290/mt and think there may be some more to come yet. But doubt it will get below the £210 it started at.

C B

Probably not to £210 I agree. If all these continentals have had a terrible harvest will they be so keen?

 

[crazy_bull]

Probably not to £210 I agree. If all these continentals have had a terrible harvest will they be so keen?

still need to plant and grow for next harvest, it is always the way.

C B

 

[Clive]

If we price adjusted number then we should look at other items like tractors in 1981 list price of a ford 7610 4wd £15824 with inflation it would be today £57663.
Today a New Holland T5 4wd list price and with more spec on todayView attachment 697990

Seems to have kept up better than wheat then which even at £200 are still 50% plus of what they would be inflation adjusted

Tractor I’m about to order has gone up near 25% in just the last 3 years since I bought the last one