Farmer Roy's Random Thoughts - I never said it was easy.

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The flood in the Diamantina na is only 3 cm less then the 74 record, so lake Eyre will get some water.
 
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CornishTone

Member
BASIS
Location
Cornwall
Just had a talk by the BOM at our Agronomy Conference in Melbourne. They are pretty bloody cagey about the next 6 months!!!

Phrases like “chance of an El Niño resurgence”, “the water companies in southern Australia are very very nervous” and “another year like this would be a disaster”, but was reluctant to make any firm forecasts. Content to say “wait till the March 6 month models to come out”.

Also touched on climate change and suggested that the models showing the highest degree of accuracy were pointing to the same amount of rainfall over Australia but locally it would shift north, so northern areas would likely get more and southern areas would get less.

Made everyone in the room a little nervous!
 

glasshouse

Member
Location
lothians
Just had a talk by the BOM at our Agronomy Conference in Melbourne. They are pretty bloody cagey about the next 6 months!!!

Phrases like “chance of an El Niño resurgence”, “the water companies in southern Australia are very very nervous” and “another year like this would be a disaster”, but was reluctant to make any firm forecasts. Content to say “wait till the March 6 month models to come out”.

Also touched on climate change and suggested that the models showing the highest degree of accuracy were pointing to the same amount of rainfall over Australia but locally it would shift north, so northern areas would likely get more and southern areas would get less.

Made everyone in the room a little nervous!
How the hell do the chem companies know what to order/ manufacture when none of it might sell?
 

CornishTone

Member
BASIS
Location
Cornwall
We’ve now just had a presentation by a statistician on how to interpret trials data etc. He does a bit of work with the BOM on their agriculture work and he seemed a little less pessimistic. Reckons the dry is likely to continue but El Niño resurgence is less likely.
 

cows sh#t me to tears

Member
Livestock Farmer
No one ever beats the s**t out of me when I climb my ladder:ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO::whistle: Watch this space re the Mdba and our current water issues. We wont take being squirted by scientists anymore. And have vowed as a group to beat th he scientists up instead. At our recent irrigator meeting one of the old blokes shared this with us. That the so called scientist behind the former labor governments MDBA plan was one Jason Alexander. He said he first came across this little man in 1991 when he was the enviromental scientist for the Australian conservation foundation. There ideology then was they wouldn't stop till all irrigated dairying in northern Victoria, all rice growers in my region and all cotton in the northern basin was stopped. Now I ask you, how often have you seen a leopard change his spots...
 
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