February Fill-Dyke

vinnie123

Member
Location
dorset
Had 75mm here in November in one weekend, under 30mm in December and nearly 30 mm so far in January , bloody dry for the time of year but 2016 rainfall was around the annual average. Can still drive around fields here which is rare without a heavy frost in Jan !
 

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
Some of our foreign investors are now praying hard for substantial rain next month in the UK.

According to South West Water, reservoir levels are unusually low for this time of year, even less than the 1995 record in Devon and Somerset.

This must surely be complete nonsense.

I haven't been up on the chalk recently, but one assumes every winter borne is now to be seen fully running there - not that they're a very reliable predictor - dry until April in 2012 and then never stopped.

Personally, I hope it don't rain much again from now until Easter, which is quite late this year.

http://www.southwestwater.co.uk/index.cfm?articleid=1501

The winter bourne isn't running here yet. It normally rises in December. November had 103 mm rain which is more normal but the autumn has been very dry.

I'll have a look in the wells and bores over the next few days and report back.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts

Wombat

Member
BASIS
Location
East yorks
I think so too. The North Atlantic is showing signs of cooling at the surface, after about 20 years of warmer than average conditions, colder sea surface temperatures means higher atmospheric pressure systems will be more common over and near the UK, which means drier conditions in any season, plus colder winters and hotter summers.

http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/2016/05/10/atlantic-cooling/

Bring it on, at last some decent summers (and generally less pants weather ) :)
 

Sonoftheheir

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
West Suffolk
Mother Nature does tend to even herself out over the coarse of a year. Trouble is the timing of it is not always at the best of times.

Definitely noticed that the weather over the past 10 years or so lumps itself together. It's either very wet for months or very dry.

ATM we are definitely in a dry spell, we've never seen the land so hard after sugar beet. We have had it very dry since June 2016's deluge.
 
the average rainfall here since 1980 is 645 mm the average of the last 5 year is 716 mm
the dryiest is 2011 at 430 the wettest is 2012 at 962
the most interesting fact is many years are more than 100mm above or 100mm below average

2016 was 30 mm above average

as for 2017 it is anyones guess
 

franklin

New Member
Even thought it is statistically dry, it's still bloody wet here. Average for Lincoln is 577mm, and for Scampton just over 600mm. Summer 2016 wasnt especially hot, and October was a bit of a disaster. November low rain. December average. Has been high humidity all back end and not really drying weather. I can only imagine that you folk in the wet west are farming land that the water either permeates through, or on hills where it runs down. We are on clay at the bottom of a hill.

I general, rain and snow can sod off far away from here. Average is wet. Above average is very wet. 10% below average and you still wont have it dry enough to subsoil into stubbles.
 

bankrupt

Member
Location
EX17/20
it's still bloody wet here.

Here, too, static.

However, the ground water indicators recently published by South West Water are surely scary enough to deserve a bit of an airing.

If they are right, the risk of damaging soil moisture deficit during grain fill is now at a 20 year high on their patch (basically anywhere south of the M4) and it's already baked in (that is the risk of it's baked in, not the certainty).

Hence this thread posted here on 'cropping', rather than on the weather forum.
 

franklin

New Member
If they are right, the risk of damaging soil moisture deficit during grain fill is now at a 20 year high on their patch (basically anywhere south of the M4) and it's already baked in (that is the risk of it's baked in, not the certainty).

Soil moisture deficit is music to my ears.
 

franklin

New Member
Really, it's 6 months until grain fill! A little early to be predicting a June drought methinks :bored:

Yup. While we all enjoy looking at slim_shiney's pics of ploughing on Christmas day / lifting roots in Jan and following with a Sumo, a continuous slight deficit causes next to no trouble here bat a spot of brown rust. The very idea of your levels of rainfall here would be disasterous. Would I prefer :

a) cutting a slightly smaller yield of dry grain, hay etc, and getting land work done in good order at an improved price, or
b) cutting a higher yield of damp grain; tedding the hay 9 times and it still being poo; making a muddy mess, just to say what great yields we have had?

Admittedly for you lot growing a lot of spring barley its a different kettle of fish, but it doesnt take long to flick back to pics of 2012 which for us was about your normal level of rain, to see what a disaster that can be. I think, in general, slightly drier than average benefits more farmers than sightly wetter doesnt it? Thats why those posting a desire for rain is such a complete pain!
 

bankrupt

Member
Location
EX17/20
a continuous slight deficit causes next to no trouble here

Fair enough, static, but we've got soils at both extremes.

One extreme where soil moisture capacity is less than 2 inches and relies upon summer rainfall for any decent crop production at all (no summer rainfall = 1 tonne/acre, as in 1976).

The other where soil moisture capacity is 8 to 10 inches and potentially 4 tonne/acre without very much summer rainfall (as in 1996), but relies upon winter rainfall to top it up.

This has yet to happen here, this time.
 

Goweresque

Member
Location
North Wilts
Been out digging up a blocked drain today (one that runs constantly with spring water, not ground water), the ground is as dry as anything down a few feet. Clay falling out of the bucket. Moisture content of the ground is way down from normal at this time of year. Driving around with a 3CX and not making more than a cleat mark.
 

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