how much wheat still to plant

[yellow belly]

i keep reading and hearing about farmers who have been unable to plant
the early planting intention survey says 1.776 million has if there is some acres that would normally have been planted by now will the area of wheat in may be less than 1.776 million

planted 100% of intended although one field may not make harvest the rest looks better than last years

 

[Wombat]

Fair bit round here to go, very little after roots got done as you drive around and quite a bit of bare stubble

 

[4course]

im not so sure theres a lot to plant or rather will be sown as a few of us me included did reasonably ok with spring barley that was actually sown as spring barley and not a rescue mission plus got a bit more going as a break to return rotation into line and in the main apart from some very wet heavy land or that that was a fine and rolled seedbed ww looks ok , not brilliant but ok , so im thinking what is sown is not as much as could have been therefore the talk of a massive crop in acerage terms is maybe being exagerated

 

[fudge]

Trade reckon 85% of target drilled they anticipate lower than average yields giving a uk surplus of between one and two million tonnes. IMO the balance sheet could be tighter than that. Anyone’s guess really.

 

[Steevo]

Trade reckon 85% of target drilled they anticipate lower than average yields giving a uk surplus of between one and two million tonnes. IMO the balance sheet could be tighter than that. Anyone’s guess really.

The trade always view the coming harvest as better than it will be just to keep a lid on prices. It makes forward selling somewhat less attractive as a result.

 

[teslacoils]

Wheat as far as the eye can see in northern lincs. Looks variable. Fair bit of second wheats or these after spring barley look awful.

 

[kc6475]

We only got 70% of intended winter wheat in, rest will be spring wheat now, would guess that most people around us are between 70-100% drilled, but most gone in in wet conditions, lots of dodgy headlands and standing water, but some excellent looking crops also, way better than last year around here but early days yet, a dry spring and summer would not be good for paddled in crops with poor rooting.

 

[snarling bee]

Most people 75-100% of intentions done around here, but very little done early enough for full potential. Majority looks okay where not flooded. Still lots spring stuff to go in though.

 

[Bobthebuilder]

Missed out getting 30ac sown here, but the last field sown 65ac was pretty late for us, 6 weeks later then we'd like and is looking pretty miserable, probably get resown in the spring if it ever dries up

 

[rob h]

nothing at all sown hear its just too wet .theirs a lot of un planted fields round hear

 

[Hfd Cattle]

Got 50% of the wheat in but fields are still sodden that aren't planted . Trouble is we are using last yrs seed that failed to get drilled . One 20 acre patch was ploughed but not planted due to 'unforecast ' rain arriving . I can see spring Barley going in again if we can't get drilled by end of Jan .
Question .....will wheat seed not used last another yr in the bag ?

 

[Flat 10]

95% done. Not sure of the state of 10% that is done (ie it’s bad)...

 

[Matt77]

100% of planned acerage here, guessing almost 10% isn't going to do much if anything at harvest, either didn't get away or spent a week or 2 under water, last block of headlands look poor, rest look well and full of promise as my old man would say! Winter bean's on the other hand, I'd say 30-40% lost under water in patches, too much water over too short a time, with no where to go.

 

[yellow belly]

Trade reckon 85% of target drilled they anticipate lower than average yields giving a uk surplus of between one and two million tonnes. IMO the balance sheet could be tighter than that. Anyone’s guess really.

the uk consumption is around 15 million tonnes wheat
1 million that we cannot grow high protein and duram is imported
so consumption of uk produced is around 14 million
production from 1.77 million ha will need to average 8 tonnes
already to many dodgy areas of field to hold yield down plus some will not get planted

the 2021 july carry over will be the lowest possible

back in the summer the pundits were saying 1.9 million ha and 8.5 tonnes
1.7 million ha and 7.8 give us a very tight supply any issues and we need more imports

i now have 4% of my farm in non cropped area this year most of that would have been wheat
i also use to be wheat break wheat but am now only 1/3 wheat spring barley and break

 

[Spanish]

Here in the north of Spain a lot of wheat has been planted because with the rains of the year, last year a lot was left for sunflower and spring barley.

In central and southern Spain, after a historic harvest, due to its good yields, more wheat has been sown than usual, since normally more winter barley is grown that ripens earlier before the arrival of the heat. In addition, in the southern and eastern part of the peninsula, from tonight snowfalls are expected that have not occurred for many years, so the soil and the reservoirs will take on moisture. The crop is going very well this season.

As for the grain harvested last summer, it is selling very well, 40% more barley has been taken to Portugal than is usually carried on the same dates, and trucks are seen loading wheat in most warehouses, even on Christmas dates that other years the market was stopped. Something happens in the grain market.

 

[Brisel]

1/3 of my winter cereals were not sown. Repeated rains in September meant we pulled out of the heavy land and drilled nothing after 10th October. It just hasn’t dried out enough since and every stubble I have walked since Christmas has water stood on it now.

 

[Banana Bar]

I would guess Suffolk is largely drilled to plan ( of wheat ) although 75% of it has been drilled in poor conditions and will do well to yield more than 8t/ ha.

 

[4course]

1/3 of my winter cereals were not sown. Repeated rains in September meant we pulled out of the heavy land and drilled nothing after 10th October. It just hasn’t dried out enough since and every stubble I have walked since Christmas has water stood on it now.

and the experience will encourage you to start sowing as soon as the fields are cleared which if history repeats itself will mean your seeds may or may not germinate and die or blue mould off ,and by the time you decide to resow will be too late
been there done that about 30 years ago after a similar time

 

[Brisel]

and the experience will encourage you to start sowing as soon as the fields are cleared which if history repeats itself will mean your seeds may or may not germinate and die or blue mould off ,and by the time you decide to resow will be too late
been there done that about 30 years ago after a similar time

What point are you trying to make here? Don't bother cropping land that can lie wet? That's pretty well all our Tees valley clays out of production!

All the wheats sown in September look good where there isn't standing water. I will certainly start drilling sooner this September. Our 6m drill is working hard to sow 3500 acres/year especially when field sizes are small and the blocks of land are well spread out. What would really throw the logistics would be the loss of osr. At least that was 750 acres sown before mid September. I'm digging out drain ends at the moment and talking to our local gypsum supplier which would help the drainage.

 

[teslacoils]

Large heavy land acreages are always going to be "interesting". Just keep the bg away and carry on drilling early.