Foxcover
Member
You sound like more of a gambler than an investor!
Share Portfolio 2020
- Thread starter uztrac
- Start date
You sound like more of a gambler than an investor!
Speaking to a man the other day who works in finance, who was saying that there are suggestions that we may be heading for deflation, as money supply hasn’t shrunk like it’s shrinking now for a long time. Cash in a good savings account would be a good call if that were the case would it not?
This was the guy being referenced, Tim Congdon, he is apparently controversial, but has been often proven correct.
mv-pt.org
Institute of International Monetary Research | Insight into monetary policy and inflation
The Institute of International Monetary Research brings to public attention the strong relationship between the quantity of money and the levels of national income and expenditure.
mv-pt.org
- Location
- Black Isle
does that not cover most farmers, everything we do is a gamble!
I look at some of my share buys on there like sheep…. There’s always potential for one with 4 legs in the air!
Foxcover
Member
Most farmers don’t have time to be following stock market all day and day trading! Fair play if you can do both.
- Location
- Black Isle
I mean everything we do is a gamble, weather, prices etc
A few mins here and there is all it takes the reckless way I do it! Helps that American Market opens at 2.30 closes 8.30pm too
- Location
- Essex
Tried to buy some of these today but it came up with a red flag and "restricted dealing ". This was on the aj Bell platform. Any ideas?Certainly seem to be listed on their site
Vanguard Funds PLC VANGUARD S&P 500 UCITS ETF Share Price (LSE:VUSA) | AJ Bell
View share price quotes, updates and the latest stock news for Vanguard Funds PLC VANGUARD S&P 500 UCITS ETF (LSE:VUSA). Explore historical charts, financials and dividends.www.ajbell.co.uk
I'm not sure, maybe someone else here will know. Or maybe email them and see
Long long long time since day trading and spreadbetting were fun. High frequency trading by computers had absolutely knackered all that ages ago.
I was at a Handelsbanken lunch 6months ago where their investment specialist thought deflation was a real possibility within 2 years …… i think he’s right, they went to hard to fast with rate rises so didn’t leave time for effect to work through
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Time will tell…
They were too slow and ended too high on rates.
So you done an about turn then Clive? You were Mr Deflation a few months ago. One person has changed your mind just like that?
They were too slow and ended too high on rates.
So you done an about turn then Clive? You were Mr Deflation a few months ago. One person has changed your mind just like that?
sorry that’s a ( critical) typo ! deflation - i’ve edited now
yes i still think it’s a Very real possibility
I did wonder
The regs only allow retail investors to own ETF shares if they are supplied with a KID (key info document). US etf's don't supply this.
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Whoops. Fair play, easy to make mistakes, good to own up though
So was it after hearing this chap say that that you went full on Mr Deflation as noted on here?
Whoops. Fair play, easy to make mistakes, good to own up though
So was it after hearing this chap say that that you went full on Mr Deflation as noted on here?
yes, he made a very good case for the possibility
it takes a while for rate rises to work through an economy as most mortgages are fixed over a term - untill they need to renew the rise makes little difference
we are now approaching a point where many will need to renew and it will hit very hard
car finance / pcp is a similar story
we have already seen deflation in ag - i’m selling wheat at nr half the price i did last year and car prices are dropping rapidly …….. maybe it’s already happening ?
I don’t agree but it’s all gravy. Wheat prices don’t go into inflation baskets, but then there’s lots wrong with these baskets…
- Location
- Essex
I'll probably have to ring up