Winter wheat yields

[DRC]

My agronomist reckons a lot of crops look good from the road , until you get in them.
I delivered some Haylage 10 miles yesterday and saw some excellent looking crops over the hedge . Looking at them you wouldn’t think there had been any problems .

 

[glasshouse]

The trade are talking it down as usual
Just like estate agents in reverse

 

[Brisel]

The trade are talking it down as usual
Just like estate agents in reverse

Buyers talk it down. Sellers talk it up. What's new?

 

[David.]

But there is such a thing as wishfully ignoring reality.
Harvest is not going to be as universally bad as some think.

 

[Brisel]

But there is such a thing as wishfully ignoring reality.
Harvest is not going to be as universally bad as some think.

Do you think Farmers Weekly will reporting such disasters as "a poor 12 t/ha?" Mind you, it might be if they've spent 13 t/ha across the whole sown area.

 

[David.]

Almost inevitably.
I'm confident the man from down by Wallingford, with the pink shirt and shorts, is preparing his story even now.

 

[4course]

this last few days having been walking the odd tramline, it is very noticeable the difference in tillering and the holding on of the viable tillers across the varieties on the earlier sown crops that in the main look well, its the rest of which there is more than enough look marginal to say the least and its going to be a late to finish harvest here with a couple of fields of feb sown ww only just starting to flower.Im fairly confident that some of our acerage will yield on a par with any other year in fact some looks very promising trouble is its the other 1/2 that has too many thin poorer areas and is not now in the planned ww

 

[glasshouse]

But there is such a thing as wishfully ignoring reality.
Harvest is not going to be as universally bad as some think.

There is some good sp barley about, but it was ploughed in sept for wheat and it never got drilled

 

[Lincsman]

But there is such a thing as wishfully ignoring reality.
Harvest is not going to be as universally bad as some think.

You say that but my wheat yields will be down 100%, the seed is still in the shed and the fields are fallow.


Ironically this is the current banner on the page!!!

 

[bankrupt]

Currency!

Quite so, Brisel.

In fact, the virus also seems to having an interesting effect at the retail level.

For example, yesterday I came away from the local supermarket with a box of rolled oats at £3290/tonne, £700 up from eight weeks ago when we dispatched our last few loads (over contract) at £117.

This must surely mean that milling oats come harvest will be worth something north of £800/tonne?

 

[bankrupt]

View attachment 888405

Having spent billions on breeding new wheats, wherever do they buy their rubbish new names from?

Insitor's parentage is utterly confidential, apparently, but I guess it's probably Insult x Trantor.

 

[bankrupt]

the man from down by Wallingford, with the pink shirt and shorts, is preparing his story even now.

Fair do's, the Thames Valley's not been the easiest place to farm, this time.

 

[Cowcorn]

Quite so, Brisel.

In fact, the virus also seems to having an interesting effect at the retail level.

For example, yesterday I came away from the local supermarket with a box of rolled oats at £3290/tonne, £700 up from eight weeks ago when we dispatched our last few loads (over contract) at £117.

This must surely mean that milling oats come harvest will be worth something north of £800/tonne?

Dream on !!!

 

[Acke]

WW Norin drilled 20/9

 

[shakerator]

Currency!

currency does not explain those variations alone.
You mention speculative punts - if we are getting purely market dynamics about it- you could argue it’s even more of a speculative punt fixing a price in a currency they has just had several rounds of massive debasing ...

 

[Brisel]

currency does not explain those variations alone.
You mention speculative punts - if we are getting purely market dynamics about it- you could argue it’s even more of a speculative punt fixing a price in a currency they has just had several rounds of massive debasing ...

Ok, there's more at work than currency. Domestic production was massive in 2015 here and in Europe so exports had to go outside the EU bloc. The difference between import parity and export parity is over £10 by itself.

Name me a stable currency! They all fluctuate.

 

[Renaultman]

this last few days having been walking the odd tramline, it is very noticeable the difference in tillering and the holding on of the viable tillers across the varieties on the earlier sown crops that in the main look well, its the rest of which there is more than enough look marginal to say the least and its going to be a late to finish harvest here with a couple of fields of feb sown ww only just starting to flower.Im fairly confident that some of our acerage will yield on a par with any other year in fact some looks very promising trouble is its the other 1/2 that has too many thin poorer areas and is not now in the planned ww

Very similar to here, early drilled crops look well
Even the October drilled stuff looks ok (ish) it will be a toss up whether the spring drilled winter wheats out performs spring barley.

 

[willy]

Almost inevitably.
I'm confident the man from down by Wallingford, with the pink shirt and shorts, is preparing his story even now.

which one is that? Ian Pigott?

 

[David.]

No, but don't remember name. Always about first in FW cutting barley, and always yielding beyond my most optimistic dreams.

 

[glasshouse]

Ok, there's more at work than currency. Domestic production was massive in 2015 here and in Europe so exports had to go outside the EU bloc. The difference between import parity and export parity is over £10 by itself.

Name me a stable currency! They all fluctuate.

View attachment 888477
View attachment 888479

2015 was a bast.ard