A VERY SERIOUS QUESTION FOR ALL WEATHER FORECASTING PROVIDERS??

[Pilatus]

QUESTION. IS 2019 GOING TO BE DRIER THAN 2018 ???????????????????

 

[Farmer Roy]

if it is, then my farm will be on the market before the end of the year . . .

 

[Wombat]

2018 was as wet as 2017 here it just came all at the beginning and ends of the year

 

[Fish]

2018 was as wet as 2017 here it just came all at the beginning and ends of the year

Here the 30 year AV is 644mm.
2017- 783mm
2018- 691mm, with August giving 72mm.

Yes it's dry at the moment, but be careful what you wish for.

I would not be surprised if April is wet this year.

 

[Chalky]

For a laugh, had a look at Metcheck v long range forecast. 52mm rain from beginning of March to middle of August. That, I believe, is 'desert' status.

 

[nick...]

Need about 5/6 inches here to replenish ground water.pond outside my home is probably 18 inches lower than it should be and water level probably 6ft below ground level
Nick...

 

[Wombat]

Here the 30 year AV is 644mm.
2017- 783mm
2018- 691mm, with August giving 72mm.

Yes it's dry at the moment, but be careful what you wish for.

I would not be surprised if April is wet this year.

Sept had 80mm here last year, August 20mm. We had 4mm more at about 575 in 2017 and 579 in 2018 from local wunderground station.

 

[jondear]

Ended up 2 inches above average last year after the drought all in first 3 and last 2 months .It's not that dry in Devon ATM .

 

[onthehoof]

The weather pattern over the Atlantic/ Europe at the moment is according to the forecasters is ‘most unusual’ bearing on ‘unheard of’

 

[nick...]

What in a good or bad way
Nick...

 

[Wombat]

What in a good or bad way
Nick...

At the moment it’s not raining so that’s good

 

[Pilgrimmick]

Water level is about 1mm below the surface at the minute, in last years drought it was about five inches down!
Not too worried about drought here!

 

[Bob]

No weather forecaster commenting on this.

 

[jondear]

That's because over a week and it's 50/50
Chance!

 

[Grassman]

The ground in my area is the driest I have ever known at this time of year.

 

[jondear]

I remember going to grassland at stoneligh I think it was 2011 and they the lightest of cuts in may because no rain had fallen from putting fert on in spring !

 

[Wellytrack]

Hello. Harbinger of doom here.

Based entirely on completely unscientific interpretation of having no winter to speak off until now I predict April will be cold wet, and will rain steadily well into May.

I await your GTFO’s with unabated interest.

 

[Sharpy]

Water level is about 1mm below the surface at the minute, in last years drought it was about five inches down!
Not too worried about drought here!

Similar here. Squelch squelch but not as bad as usual.

 

[onthehoof]

What in a good or bad way
Nick...

Something about being warmer on top of the mountains than at the bottom which is obviously the reverse of what normally happens didn’t really go into details of why.

 

[Fish]

Sept had 80mm here last year, August 20mm. We had 4mm more at about 575 in 2017 and 579 in 2018 from local wunderground station.

Blo*dy h*ll, considering that you are only about 25/30 miles from me, the rain fall totals are very different , at least 100mm different.
Got hit by a lot of thunder storms last year. We were at a wedding near wilberfoss first weekend in June last year, just a wee shower at the wedding, 30mm at home.