Like how long is a piece of string, how much would dropping N rates from 210 to say 150kg have on yield ? First wheats after osr or beans and OSR
Have you abandoned the reduced N experiment mentioned a few weeks back then @Clive ?
Drastically reduced input / quasi organic approach was very much the focus of Joel Williams yesterday... was certainly well presented and hugely interesting but little hard commercial / yield information offered.
That's my point, a few weeks ago Clive went all hippie and planned to produce 8t/ha with little input.Have you abandoned the reduced N experiment mentioned a few weeks back then @Clive ?
Drastically reduced input / quasi organic approach was very much the focus of Joel Williams yesterday... was certainly well presented and hugely interesting but little hard commercial / yield information offered.
That's my point, a few weeks ago Clive went all hippie and planned to produce 8t/ha with little input.
Something's got to give with crop inputs at current prices. 3 major Wheat costs are
Blackgrass control £126/ha
T1 &T2 fungicides £75/ha
Nitrogen 200kgN £97/ha
Reductions in fixed costs and cults can be discussed til the cows come home.
Do what they are doing with the LearN project 60kg N more in one tramline 60kg N less in another and see which gives best return. Last year it would have paid me to put +60kg N on most fields (it was an exceptional year for us). The data for this year hasn't been analysed yet but looking at the yield maps my guess would be it will be a toss up between farm standard 210kg and the +60 rate and that was on fields that ran out of water during the hot weather in June. The -60kg tramlines stand out badly.
If you drop your yield from 9t/Ha to 8t/Ha cutting N
your blackgrass control goes from £13.9/t to £15.8/t and
your fungicide from £8.3/t to £9.4/t
N costs go from £10.8/t to £8.7/t
So your N costs come down by £2.1/t but your Chemical spend goes up by £2.8/t resulting in each tonne costing £0.70 more to grow before you take into account spreading all your other costs on a per tonne basis.
Re OP if you join NIAB TAG you will find a clear answer to the question in their variety interaction trial results.
I think there is scope to improve gross margin from where we are today but I'm not starting with a reduction in N.
I'm not sure that looking at cost per tonne in isolation is particularly helpful either in my quest for remaining profitable. I want to maximise £ net margin from my given acreage which is based on tonnes produced as well as cost per tonne.
Excellent analysis
This too
Regarding my earlier comment about fixed costs being variable... Start with a blank sheet of paper, i.e. nothing, lay out how you would create a farm system to grow crops purely and simply. No "extras" no "well, that might come in handy" or "that makes that awful job so much more comfortable." I did this 12 months ago and arrived at the conclusion that equipment levels could be simpler. I spend £40k/year on tyres & wearing metal thanks to flint soils and £90k on diesel to rip up the compaction I was putting in. Next summer, a strip till drill arrives here with the long term aim of zero tillage once I have improved the soil structure to the point where it becomes self repairing.
I got to that conclusion via looking at controlled traffic - never mind the cost of changing implement widths & fitting RTK to all the gear, why not just reduce the number of passes & get nature to help avoid/fix the compaction? Why sell all cereal straw then buy in compost, sewage & FYM to replace the organic matter offtake, with lorries cutting ruts in and out of each field.
I'm not saying that no till is the way forward for everyone - that was just my example which may or may not be right, but stepping back and starting again you might do things differently. I hope that akes sense.
Do what they are doing with the LearN project 60kg N more in one tramline 60kg N less in another and see which gives best return. Last year it would have paid me to put +60kg N on most fields (it was an exceptional year for us). The data for this year hasn't been analysed yet but looking at the yield maps my guess would be it will be a toss up between farm standard 210kg and the +60 rate and that was on fields that ran out of water during the hot weather in June. The -60kg tramlines stand out badly.
If you drop your yield from 9t/Ha to 8t/Ha cutting N
your blackgrass control goes from £13.9/t to £15.8/t and
your fungicide from £8.3/t to £9.4/t
N costs go from £10.8/t to £8.7/t
So your N costs come down by £2.1/t but your Chemical spend goes up by £2.8/t resulting in each tonne costing £0.70 more to grow before you take into account spreading all your other costs on a per tonne basis.