Clay52
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Yes re the follicular wave stuff. Beef cows and heifers are typically 3 wave. A lot of the early work was done in Ireland in beef and it was assumed all cows were 3 wave.
Equally I suspect you've also done very much less with synchronisation. We have some farms that do consistently well, and then suddenly a crap result on a batch. Sometimes obvious why, but sometimes not.
I've heard some people say about the occasional bad result pop up. I haven't had it yet. I started off with 10% conception on my first ever sync 8 or so years ago. I made plenty of mistakes then but have made overall steady progress since . I haven't had a spring or autumn sync under 50% for years.
I think people just get complacent after a while, sloppy on injections or dates and that causes the bad result.