The Pacific Ocean temperatures set an all-time record in April, El Nino looms

Interesting to compare with previous years and important to note that (I believe) the dataset used only goes back to 1981 (satellite era).

This graph https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/ shows the daily sea surface temperatures, but not they are only calculated for 60N-60S (the dataset is explained below the graph).

I'm always extremely cautious with phrases like 'record breaking' as one does need to look carefully at the data used and compare like with like. Having said that, the warming theme is there to be seen by all. We didn't;t have access to such data in the past and so it's a privilege to see it now.

It does seem there is a strong link between CO2 and temperature and that humans are very likely to be the cause of additional warming over and above natural warming. The rapid access to the data does mean we have the ability to do something about our contribution to warming if we choose to do so.

As for the 'what if you're wrong?' argument, then that's a 'down the pub' discussion, but probably better to do something than not I believe.

There is a lot of hysteria still regarding anthropogenic climate change but I think in recent years we have seen much 'good data' becoming available and that does lead one to suggest action is probably needed.

A final note, I'm also cautious about attribution of individual events to climate change. It's interesting to see the rapid attribution now taking place, and the statistical methods behind it; but I do remain sceptical.

Above all, the atmosphere, weather and climate are king (or queen) of us all!

Oh, you might like this animation. It shows temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. latitude is along the bottom scale, water depth the left hand scale. Notice the cold water at the top of the chart in March, and the warm water around 150 meters. Then see how the warm water comes to the surface; this is the La Niña changing to the El Niño!
wkxzteq_anm.gif
 
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C.J

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
South Devon
1684702793652.png


Here's another 30 years for you Simon.

Job to extract much information , other than we've had 3 years of La Nina and it's now flipped to El Nino ( well technically still neutral).

2016 is still the hottest year - be interesting to see if the AMO flips to its 30-40 year cooling phase.

1684703905090.png
 

Pilatus

Member
Location
cotswolds
Serious question.
Will AI be perhaps used for weather forecasting especially long range weather forecasts? Or is the atmosphere changing so quickly that it will even out smart AI.
It would be interesting to hear @Simon Keeling and @Clive views.
Perhaps in my ignorance ,AI is already being used for weather forecasting.
Thank you.
 

C.J

Member
Livestock Farmer
Location
South Devon
1692696672468.png




Looks like it will be quite a mild el nino , not a record breaker.

Why ? well it started late in the year and the PDO is negative.
 

DaveGrohl

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Cumbria
Hello MX7. We refers to employees and others affiliated with Easy Newz.

I have traded for large multinationals and after becoming a farmer realized how difficult it is to access information (especially in developing economies). Everyone is trying to sell a farmer something and buy their grain cheaply. Easy Newz is an app that provides free global news and insights with no ads or politics in two languages currently. We are giving the farmer information. Today we only ask for feedback to improve the product. We aim to grow the user base internationally and provide more products/features. I hope this helps clarify who we are.

A number of people are involved in agriculture. I farm in Argentina and have an agricultural interest in the United States. I spend approximately half my time in South America and half in the United States.
@EasyNewz
Are you Bill Bonner?
 

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