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Discussion in 'Cropping' started by Jerry, Feb 14, 2013.

  1. bankrupt

    bankrupt Member

    Location:
    EX17/20
    We have often found this to hold true in previous droughts (for example 1964, 1976, 1984, 1996, 2006, 2013 etc) Iben.

    Unfortunately, due to the very wet Autumn and Winter and Spring this time, however, hollows, wet areas, near trees here were lucky to do 1.3-1.5t/ha.

    :D
     
    Last edited: Dec 25, 2018
  2. bankrupt

    bankrupt Member

    Location:
    EX17/20
    For decent yields on my farm, Jerry, all we need is 100mm of rain and 200hrs of sunshine in June.

    In 2012, we had 200mm of rain and no sunshine.

    This year, we got 400hrs of sunshine, but no rain.

    :D:D
     
    Renaultman and Jerry like this.
  3. bankrupt

    bankrupt Member

    Location:
    EX17/20
    I'm still holding some of '18 and most of '19 crop as a convenient currency hedge, Clive

    The rights and wrongs of this probably depend a bit upon one's individual farm business structure

    The higher the proportion of capital locked in to land and buildings, which will fall in real value as sterling depreciates, the more attractive it is to hedge with a couple of years of grain.

    :D:D:D
     
    Last edited: Dec 26, 2018
    Clive and Flat 10 like this.
  4. Iben

    Iben Member

    Location:
    Fife
    Still can't see the £ having any great drop. If there was a chance of it, the market will already have factored it in by now.

    Anytime it has looked like any sort of brexit certainty was coming, whether deal or no deal, the £ has actually strengthened.

    It will definitely fluctuate a fair bit, but from what base level?
     
    neilo and willy like this.
  5. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    new rules on the value of a £ soon ......... well the biggest change for at least 50 years anyway


    who really knows ???
     
  6. Flat 10

    Flat 10 Member

    Location:
    Fen Edge
    ?
     
  7. If the USA stock market rout continues and spreads to all stock markets then all bets are off
    World goes into a big slump and energy consumption fall fuel usage falls oil under $30 biofuel in the USA production falls

    Uk brexit turns out not as bad as feared £ revalues by 30%

    No import duty on cheap grain uk feed wheat under £100
     
    Brisel and Full of bull(s) like this.
  8. Chae1

    Chae1 Member

    Location:
    Aberdeenshire
    There's a doomonger thread elsewhere. Have you entered any predictions
     
    Chrisw and d williams like this.
  9. Renaultman

    Renaultman Member

    Location:
    Darlington
    Merry F*ckin Christmas Grinch! ;) (You could well be right though)
     
    d williams likes this.
  10. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    Think he called it Brexit or something

    To be fair there hasn’t been a lot on the news about it

    ;)
     
    Flat 10 likes this.
  11. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    What have you got sold right now % wise for h18 and h19 ?
     
  12. Flat 10

    Flat 10 Member

    Location:
    Fen Edge
    I’m thicker than normal
     
  13. CornishRanger

    CornishRanger Member

    Location:
    Cornwall
    Anyone able to give me an idea of the current feed oats price ex farm, preferably in Cornwall?
     
  14. An Gof

    An Gof Member

    Location:
    Cornwall
    Milling oats £183-185 ex farm for January. May not get that price if you are based in Sennen :p
     
    CornishRanger likes this.
  15. bankrupt

    bankrupt Member

    Location:
    EX17/20
    Or 42kg.
     
    CornishRanger likes this.
  16. I do like to consider all the potential scenarios
    The best possible to the worst possible
    I feel this helps to maintain perspective

    The news /prediction media up to Christmas was all uk brexit based
    But there is a lot of news out side that that will have as big an impact on the uk as brexit

    Still all possible brexit sea Rios possible so not actively doing anything different need to be fleet footed and awake to any possible action to any scenario
    2019 will be an interesting year !!!!!
    Weather will be the biggest factor for grain prices as is usually the case
    Happy new year
     
  17. David.

    David. Member

    Location:
    J11 M40
    There is nothing in the forecasts to suggest a topping up of the groundwater in these parts a time soon, don't know about eastern counties, but a hot summer on the reserves that we currently have will make for an interesting harvest.
    All to play for, I reckon.
     
    turbo and silverfox like this.
  18. We were at field capacity before Christmas with drains and rivers flowing well
     
    Wombat and gone like this.
  19. Clive

    Clive Staff Member

    Location:
    Lichfield
    Been for a walk around a local reservoir today and it's very low given time of year
     
    Rihards and silverfox like this.
  20. Warp Land Farmer

    Location:
    Hazzard County
    You cant farm water Clive!
     

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