Drilling anyone?

[teslacoils]

Met Office forecasters set for 'billion pound' supercomputer

A new supercomputer is to be built by 2022 to improve the accuracy of weather forecasting.

www.bbc.co.uk

Some may think rock on a string might be more use...

 

[Brisel]

I’m tempted to buy next years N ?

Buy urea futures. They require less barn space.

Actually, the urea futures market is far too illiquid that far ahead. You'd be better off with natural gas instead, as it's the majority of the cost of production of global urea. You can't hedge UK or western European AN because it's a highly imperfect market and there are no market tools to do so anyway.

 

[Wombat]

Well I have just bought all my sulphur for next year as it was less than I paid for straight N last year.

 

[Phil P]

All set for some spring sunshine now. ?

 

[bankrupt]

Only 19mm here this morning.

No big deal, but has reduced our running average for the last 7 days to only 22mm, which is a welcome improvement.

 

[bankrupt]

All set for some spring sunshine now. ?
View attachment 858959

The main problem with giving up the late lamented 50kg bag, Phil P, is that everyone now has to stand around for ages in a cold wind waiting for 500g.

 

[bankrupt]

Met Office forecasters set for 'billion pound' supercomputer

A new supercomputer is to be built by 2022 to improve the accuracy of weather forecasting.

www.bbc.co.uk

Some may think rock on a string might be more use...

Your cynicism does you absolutely no credit, teslacoils

Had their new £1.2Bn computer been in operation last autumn instead of the current £0.5Bn computer, it would surely have predicted nil dry days in October rather than 26.

In which case, almost everybody's wheat would have been safely in the ground in September.

An extra 7m tonnes to harvest in 2020 which would have paid for the whole shebang.

 

[bankrupt]

Buy urea futures.

Jan 2021 still looks attractive.

Urea (Granular) FOB Middle East Futures Quotes - CME Group

Find information for Urea (Granular) FOB Middle East Futures Quotes provided by CME Group. View Quotes

www.cmegroup.com

 

[Farma Parma]

Your cynicism does you absolutely no credit, teslacoils

Had their new £1.2Bn computer been in operation last autumn instead of the current £0.5Bn computer, it would surely have predicted nil dry days in October rather than 26.

In which case, almost everybody's wheat would have been safely in the ground in September.

An extra 7m tonnes to harvest in 2020 which would have paid for the whole shebang.

Not in Northumberland it wouldnt have been.
with 149mm 2nd week of August that put is all back 2weeks just with harvest for a start.
Most Backend sowing doesnt start much before the 20th of Sept around us as were still finishing harvest off.

Anyways i thought the Met Office services had been dumped by the likes of the BBC they are using some company from Spain now?
Kinda makes a mockery of the info available from your own country surely?

 

[bankrupt]

149mm 2nd week of August that put is all back 2weeks just with harvest for a start.

Had 140mm here too in that spell in August, which completely knackered the oat harvest, and got us off to a very bad start with the wheat.

Nevertheless, had we had due warning about October, we might have hired in some extra help, or spent a bit less time in the pub, in September.

 

[Flat 10]

Not in Northumberland it wouldnt have been.
with 149mm 2nd week of August that put is all back 2weeks just with harvest for a start.
Most Backend sowing doesnt start much before the 20th of Sept around us as were still finishing harvest off.

Anyways i thought the Met Office services had been dumped by the likes of the BBC they are using some company from Spain now?
Kinda makes a mockery of the info available from your own country surely?

That’s just due to price I believe. BBC was forced to use met office, now it can buy forecasting from whoever it chooses.

 

[Farma Parma]

Your cynicism does you absolutely no credit, teslacoils

Had their new £1.2Bn computer been in operation last autumn instead of the current £0.5Bn computer, it would surely have predicted nil dry days in October rather than 26.

In which case, almost everybody's wheat would have been safely in the ground in September.

An extra 7m tonnes to harvest in 2020 which would have paid for the whole shebang.

Not in Northumberland it wouldnt have been.
with 149mm 2nd week of August that put is all back 2weeks just with harvest for a start.
Most Backend sowing doesnt start much before the 20th of Sept around us as were still finishing harvest off.

Anyways i thought the Met Office services had been dumped by the likes of the BBC they are using some company from Spain now?
Kinda makes a mockery of the info available from your own country surely?

Had 140mm here too in that spell in August, which completely knackered the oat harvest, and got us off to a very bad start with the wheat.

Nevertheless, had we had due warning about October, we might have hired in some extra help, or spent a bit less time in the pub, in September.

Can any weather service really give us more than 2 weeks ahead tho? iam not convinced.
its pretty good a week or more ahead i'll praise them that ways.

 

[bankrupt]

[

Can any weather service really give us more than 2 weeks ahead tho? iam not convinced.

This is exactly why they're spending another £1.2Bn of our money on a new computer.

The old one got October spectacularly wrong in 2012 and 2019 and needs to be scrapped asap.

 

[ajd132]

Technology has moved on massively since the last tech was bought, bring it on.

 

[teslacoils]

Tbh a more accurate view of October would probably have stopped more drilling than encouraging it. The few heavy land crops that will make the combine better be praying for good Atlantis action on the BG.

All I would have done differently would be finish ploughing one field, and not sold as much corn.

 

[bankrupt]

Tbh a more accurate view of October would probably have stopped more drilling than encouraging it.

Not sure that's true.

 

[teslacoils]

Maybe not where you are. But anyone drilling wheat here in September, and given the weather since unlikely to have got any autumn chem on, would be looking at a yellow and sad crop, full of bg, with visible wheelings everywhere.

Really, it is write-off city round here. All getting crops in mid September would have done would be increase the loss.

 

[bankrupt]

Fair enough, but around here the September plantings are all looking pretty good.

This doesn't actually mean to say that ours would be if we had any, but we haven't.

 

[4course]

that weve sown 10-14 days ago is mostly chitted and putting a root out despite being in slurry ,amazing after the last 2 weekends .wether it will make it will depend on the next few days just got to hope

 

[yellow belly]

Maybe not where you are. But anyone drilling wheat here in September, and given the weather since unlikely to have got any autumn chem on, would be looking at a yellow and sad crop, full of bg, with visible wheelings everywhere.

Really, it is write-off city round here. All getting crops in mid September would have done would be increase the loss.

if I had started 4 days earlier I would have got it all in
notill needs planting 2 weeks earlier than cultivated but has reduced weed pressure

note for future with notill ignore all advice from anyone who is still in the cultivated land mind set so that is 95% of advisers and farmers
the yougster was not sure we were doing the right thing drilling in september but now he is certain we were just should have started earlier

I learnt this from 1982 1987 1992 2001 and a few more since then
when the ground is dry deep down then waiting can be considered but when there is drain flow in july and august drill early if it is full of bg plant something else in the spring