EU markets supported by US snow storm

CRM AgriCommodities

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
UK

EU markets supported by US snow storm
Cereals
  • Markets bought the rumours that large areas of US wheat had been damaged by a snow storm as confirmation of damage significance remains to be seen.
  • May-17 wheat returned to the technical resistance level of £150/T following US weather concerns.
  • CBOT wheat traded the information whilst EU markets were on bank holiday and then today saw a sharp correction during afternoon trade.
  • Debate in the trade around the damage to crops and need for corn replanting is ongoing.
  • Prospects of further rains on areas of already underwater US corn are adding further risk into the market.
  • Spring wheat plantings in the US remain well behind the 5 yr average with corn higher than trade estimates (see chart of the day)
  • Fund panic buy out of record short grain positions following weather scares.


Oilseeds
  • Soybean planting pace remains behind the trade estimate and hampered by wet weather.
  • Concern remains around the impact of a recent European cold snap on EU rapeseed production.
  • Palm oil prices helped underpin rapeseed values as they rose on higher export demand and soy oil prices.
Chart of the Day#1: US planting progress

Chart of the Day#2: US winter wheat ratings

Futures & Options prices
 

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