Eu trade deal.

Danllan

Member
Location
Sir Gar / Carms
They have to be seen to be trying. Noone wants to be the one left holding the sharp end of the shitty stick come "blame day".
The EU - meaning, for this remainder post, the organisation rather than the member states - probably doesn't want a deal of any sort with the UK. When there is any conflict between the two, the EU has historically acted in what it regards as its own interest rather than that of its members. It seems very unlikely that the EU regards a member state leaving and prospering as a good thing for itself. This being so it probably see its best interests being served by having no deal with the UK.

The irony of this is that, should it come to pass, HMG will undoubtedly pull out the stops to re-energise, subsidise and de-tax ('streamline' if you like) the UK economy, with which the EU will be obliged to trade on WTO terms, they simply won't be able to be any more punitive than these allow. The economic advantage that UK business will have in such a situation will more than outweigh any tariffs resulting from this method of trade.

...The only thing being discussed is how much fishing do we give away to get a trade deal that we want. It's the only rabbit we got.
Yeah... they'll be absolutely desperate to see that £80 billion trade deficit in their favour got rid of. (y)
 

Werzle

Member
Location
Midlands
Media seem to have ramped up the anti no deal brexit propaganda and is applying maximum pressure, does the media now run the country?! I thought democracy ruled.

Guardian newspaper posted a story that a deal will be done because boris will not sell out british beef with a no deal and tariffs, f#cking idiots havent been told that we have no reason to export beef so no deal would be fantastic for beef. A tariff on our beef would do as much harm as putting a tariff on our banana exports!!!

Mrs batters doesnt help lumping us all in together and fooling the media into thinking she speaks for all farmers.
 
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neilo

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Montgomeryshire
The EU - meaning, for this remainder post, the organisation rather than the member states - probably doesn't want a deal of any sort with the UK. When there is any conflict between the two, the EU has historically acted in what it regards as its own interest rather than that of its members. It seems very unlikely that the EU regards a member state leaving and prospering as a good thing for itself. This being so it probably see its best interests being served by having no deal with the UK.

The irony of this is that, should it come to pass, HMG will undoubtedly pull out the stops to re-energise, subsidise and de-tax ('streamline' if you like) the UK economy, with which the EU will be obliged to trade on WTO terms, they simply won't be able to be any more punitive than these allow. The economic advantage that UK business will have in such a situation will more than outweigh any tariffs resulting from this method of trade.


Yeah... they'll be absolutely desperate to see that £80 billion trade deficit in their favour got rid of. (y)

HMG is certainly making a good start at re-energising and subsidising the ag sector already.👍 Johnny Foreigner won’t know what’s hit him.
 

Danllan

Member
Location
Sir Gar / Carms
HMG is certainly making a good start at re-energising and subsidising the ag sector already.👍 Johnny Foreigner won’t know what’s hit him.
Many people, still sulking about Brexit, have mentioned recently how unimportant fishing as it stands really is to the UK, being only a bit over 0.1% of the nation's GDP. This being or little relevance and, therefore, worthy of sacrifice to the EU. You may not like it but, the potential is now there for the UK fishing industry to increase very greatly indeed, possibly even by more than an order of magnitude, taking it to over 1% of national GDP.

Now, bearing in mind that UK Ag' represents only about 0.6% of UK GDP, something that could be eclipsed by fishing in a few years time, why should Agriculture get any special treatment?

Of course, I think all sectors of the UK economy, in all parts of the UK should always be supported. But you didn't and presumably still don't, you wanted us to stay trapped in a bloc that required us to directly subsidise our nearest competitors at the expense of our own industries and people. And that specifically outlawed our own Governments helping their own people. And all that, so that we could chalk up a huge trade imbalance?

But, so long as you can keep your lamb insulated from international markets, that's alright, stuff everyone else in the economy, especially the fishermen, you're alright Jack! Interesting position that... 😐
 

neilo

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Montgomeryshire
Many people, still sulking about Brexit, have mentioned recently how unimportant fishing as it stands really is to the UK, being only a bit over 0.1% of the nation's GDP. This being or little relevance and, therefore, worthy of sacrifice to the EU. You may not like it but, the potential is now there for the UK fishing industry to increase very greatly indeed, possibly even by more than an order of magnitude, taking it to over 1% of national GDP.

Now, bearing in mind that UK Ag' represents only about 0.6% of UK GDP, something that could be eclipsed by fishing in a few years time, why should Agriculture get any special treatment?

Of course, I think all sectors of the UK economy, in all parts of the UK should always be supported. But you didn't and presumably still don't, you wanted us to stay trapped in a bloc that required us to directly subsidise our nearest competitors at the expense of our own industries and people. And that specifically outlawed our own Governments helping their own people. And all that, so that we could chalk up a huge trade imbalance?

But, so long as you can keep your lamb insulated from international markets, that's alright, stuff everyone else in the economy, especially the fishermen, you're alright Jack! Interesting position that... 😐

A lot of those fishermen chose to sell their quota to our European competitors, it wasn’t stolen from them.

I have always considered that the livestock sector (particularly) has been protected by our French cousins, and their willingness to fight for their way of life, who have thus far protected us from the wishes of our Londoncentric MPs. I haven’t changed my opinion on that at all. ‘Taking back control’ is now coming home to roost for our industry, unfortunately, and I fear for it’s (& my) future.:(

‘Our’ government has chosen not to help our own ‘industries & people’, usually blaming EU rules, whilst other EU countries have continued to support theirs. Has the German steel industry been sold down the river like our own? Large dairy co-ops were ordered to split up here (EU rules don’t you know), whilst they flourished in Europe?:scratchhead:
 

Danllan

Member
Location
Sir Gar / Carms
A lot of those fishermen chose to sell their quota to our European competitors, it wasn’t stolen from them.

I have always considered that the livestock sector (particularly) has been protected by our French cousins, and their willingness to fight for their way of life, who have thus far protected us from the wishes of our Londoncentric MPs. I haven’t changed my opinion on that at all. ‘Taking back control’ is now coming home to roost for our industry, unfortunately, and I fear for it’s (& my) future.:(

‘Our’ government has chosen not to help our own ‘industries & people’, usually blaming EU rules, whilst other EU countries have continued to support theirs. Has the German steel industry been sold down the river like our own? Large dairy co-ops were ordered to split up here (EU rules don’t you know), whilst they flourished in Europe?:scratchhead:
Well, no direct responses, no surprise there. And your first line about the fishermen... I was pretty sure you'd write something like that, and it's b*llocks.

Surely you are aware of the history of the quotas and sales, aren't you? You know all about the original quotas, the average size of vessel in the UK and elsewhere and then - without warning - the EC changing the CFP quotas drastically, don't you? Of course you know the effect that the sudden cut had on the smaller individual British outfits and that it had no such affect on the much larger European ones, don't you?

You wrote '...those fishermen chose to sell their quota...', yes they did, just as you would 'choose' to sell. That being when you've lost 25% of your turnover due to the quota cut you were told wouldn't happen by the EC and because, as a small operator, you can't carry on without making losses without that 25%, while the chaps kind enough to buy you out can absorb the hit because of their having vessels ten times the size and being part of a large organisation.

That's the truth of the matter, which of course you know being well informed about such things; can't think why it skipped your mind... :rolleyes:
 

neilo

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Montgomeryshire
Well, no direct responses, no surprise there. And your first line about the fishermen... I was pretty sure you'd write something like that, and it's b*llocks.

Surely you are aware of the history of the quotas and sales, aren't you? You know all about the original quotas, the average size of vessel in the UK and elsewhere and then - without warning - the EC changing the CFP quotas drastically, don't you? Of course you know the effect that the sudden cut had on the smaller individual British outfits and that it had no such affect on the much larger European ones, don't you?

You wrote '...those fishermen chose to sell their quota...', yes they did, just as you would 'choose' to sell. That being when you've lost 25% of your turnover due to the quota cut you were told wouldn't happen by the EC and because, as a small operator, you can't carry on without making losses without that 25%, while the chaps kind enough to buy you out can absorb the hit because of their having vessels ten times the size and being part of a large organisation.

That's the truth of the matter, which of course you know being well informed about such things; can't think why it skipped your mind... :rolleyes:

I certainly don’t pretend to be an expert on the fishing industry like yourself, but are you really suggesting that restrictions to overfishing shouldn’t have been implemented in some way? If it had carried on, there wouldn’t have been any fish left to pull, sooner or later.
It’s no different to taking crops from land without replacing nutrients in some way. Eventually you run out of crop.

Fishing quotas will remain in place post-Brexit, it certainly won’t be a free for all again.
 

neilo

Member
Mixed Farmer
Location
Montgomeryshire
If there is a deal now (& I think it likely) then sterling will jump, which I would expect to dampen the trade we’ve seen recently. If there’s no deal, we will see turmoil until it sorts itself out, which I expect the processors/retailers will take full advantage of.
 

Danllan

Member
Location
Sir Gar / Carms
I certainly don’t pretend to be an expert on the fishing industry like yourself, but are you really suggesting that restrictions to overfishing shouldn’t have been implemented in some way? If it had carried on, there wouldn’t have been any fish left to pull, sooner or later.
It’s no different to taking crops from land without replacing nutrients in some way. Eventually you run out of crop.

Fishing quotas will remain in place post-Brexit, it certainly won’t be a free for all again.
The problem is not with the quotas, it is with the fact that the fishermen were screwed by being lied to by the EC, and accepting a 'deal' on the basis of those lies. Over-fishing in UK waters could easily have been prevented by reducing or removing foreign vessels, protecting fish stocks and the UK fishermen at the same time. Nobody is arguing for a 'free for all', simply that UK fish stocks be there primarily for the benefit of UK fishermen and consumers. And you find that controversial...? :banghead: :ROFLMAO: :cry:

I believe there will be a slight fudge to keep [almost] everyone happy.

Something along the lines of a no deal but an agreement to trade on current terms for a maximum of 12 months when there will be a comprehensive agreement or a planned change to WTO.
That or a no deal and then that; if not, WTO plain and simple...
 

czechmate

Member
Mixed Farmer
Well, no direct responses, no surprise there. And your first line about the fishermen... I was pretty sure you'd write something like that, and it's b*llocks.

Surely you are aware of the history of the quotas and sales, aren't you? You know all about the original quotas, the average size of vessel in the UK and elsewhere and then - without warning - the EC changing the CFP quotas drastically, don't you? Of course you know the effect that the sudden cut had on the smaller individual British outfits and that it had no such affect on the much larger European ones, don't you?

You wrote '...those fishermen chose to sell their quota...', yes they did, just as you would 'choose' to sell. That being when you've lost 25% of your turnover due to the quota cut you were told wouldn't happen by the EC and because, as a small operator, you can't carry on without making losses without that 25%, while the chaps kind enough to buy you out can absorb the hit because of their having vessels ten times the size and being part of a large organisation.

That's the truth of the matter, which of course you know being well informed about such things; can't think why it skipped your mind... :rolleyes:


Your posts are becoming more and more...
:nailbiting: :nailbiting::nailbiting::nailbiting::nailbiting:

Mind you, I’m not surprised
 

Bald Rick

Moderator
Livestock Farmer
Location
Anglesey
I think it's amazing that the only trump card the UK holds is fishing. Who'd have thought it? Fishing!!!

Yep ........ and here is the UKs position

Progressive Charlestown: Fisher folk, take note
 

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