nails
Member
- Location
- East Dorset
Because what the vaccine sceptics said would happen when these mRNA vaccines were announced is coming to pass. Its increasingly apparent that a) the mRNA vaccines do not protect against infection, indeed after a few months of protection they seem to increase the likelihood of it, and b) there is data beginning to come out that if you catch covid after double vaccination your body's immune response is not the same as when an unvaccinated person gets it. A vaccinated person who then gets covid appears to end up with a low N antibody response to the covid virus. This means that any future infections from mutations will affect you far worse, as your body doesn't have the full 'tool kit' to deal with the whole virus, its just 'learned' to deal with the virus via its spike protein (using S antibodies) that the vaccines produce in our bodies, but has low N (or nucleus) antibody response. When you catch and survive covid as an unvaccinated person you get full S and N antibody responses which then cover you for a far greater range of virus mutations.
This data comes from the latest UK Health Security Agency, see page 23 of this report:
Quote: recent observations from UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) surveillance data that N antibody levels appear to be lower in individuals who acquire infection following 2 doses of vaccination.
Think of it as having just one size of spanner to fix your machine, because it has all the same size nuts and bolts, so one size of spanner works fine. But if the manufacturer suddenly decides to change the size of some bolts then your one tool kit box won't fix the problem........
This is bad news for anyone who has taken the vaccine. It means that even if you catch covid after vaccination you will not then have the same immunity that a non-vaccinated person has post infection, and if the virus then mutates its spike protein a bit the next new variant could bypass your immune system entirely.
Seriously, if the N antibody response is as low in the vaccinated as the data suggest, this is VERY bad news.
Right o.k i see what you are doing here. You are confusing in-vitro results with in-vito .
Yes there is some evidence in vitro that vaccines can have some negitive immune effects, including ADE type effects. But as critics of these studies have pointed out in vitro doesn't behave similarly to in vivo and, as of yet, the evidence of the vaccines having any long term immune rewiring effects is small (though not zero). By contrast the evidence for COVID immune system rewiring is increasingly strong.
Regarding 'higher cases in the vaxxed'. Yes this is also true sometimes, but it is highly misleading. You need to understand something about the dynamics of the virus which are inherintly stochastic. I'll explain what I mean by this.
Let's compare two populations, the vaxxed and the unvaxxed and expose them to a random dose of COVID-19 every day.
Now the vax offers partial protection against infection but not full protection. So what this will cause is the unvaxxed population to initially have higher case rates. Those cases are then resolved with immunity in the vaxxed population increasing.
Meanwhile in the unvaxxed population it takes longer to seed infection and case rates are initially lower. Also vaxxed and unvaxxed tend to cluster together somewhat which exaserbates this effect.
Now the immunity of the unvaxxed population will increase faster than the unvaxxed population starting from a zero baseline, while the vaxxed population may even decline over time in a low case regime. Eventually case rates in the vaxxed overtake the unvaxxed.
So in other words due to a combination of seeding/stochastic effects, lag/clustering, and differential population immunity you would expect that unvaxxed populations have a higher case rate for time t1, and vaxxed for a time t2 where t2>t1. Which is exactly what we have seen. The fact there exists a time, t2, where case rates are higher in the vaxxed population is not even remotely surprising.
TLDR: Think of the autumn wave last year driven by young adults. Case rates were initially very high in young adults, but they dropped and then became higher in older adults. In the unvaxxed/vaxxed something similar happens. The better protection of the vaxxed means unvaxxed have an initial higher case rate, but the cororally of that is they must have a later lower case rate.