Bulls in commodity markets

Markets are very bullish at the moment. Yesterday, commodity markets skyrocketed as Russian troops made the move into Ukrainian territory with a series of attacks.

Both Ukraine and Russia are significant global wheat exporters, forecast to contribute 29% of worldwide wheat shipments this season (USDA). Yesterday’s events will have cause for concern on what will happen to Black Sea exports.

Nearby UK wheat futures closed yesterday at £243.75/t, gaining £10.00/t across the day and £22.85/t across the week so far, resulting in the highest nearby price since at least 1987.

A graph showing nearby UK wheat futures


Helen’s analysis yesterday pointed out also that there is still a sizable quantity of agricultural commodities to be shipped from the region and disruptions to exports could ensue. Further to that, it’s not just grains; both Russia and Ukraine are expected to account for 78% of global sunflower exports this season (USDA).

As this Ukrainian-Russian news evolves markets will react accordingly to what happens next. There remains a lot of uncertainty. However, if there is support to global prices this will filter down into domestic ex-farm prices.

The AHDB delivered survey will be published this afternoon with a series of prices and further insight into what this recent global news has done to our physical domestic prices.

Today's Grain Market Daily on our website: Bulls in commodity markets

For information on price direction make sure to subscribe to Grain Market Daily and Market Report from our team.
 

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