Goweresque
Member
- Location
- North Wilts
Here is a very good article detailing the differences between Case Fatality Rate (CFR) and Infection Fatality Rate (IFR), the former being the % of confirmed cases who die, and the later being the % of all infected people who die. The latter will usually be far lower that the former, especially with covid, as many infected people are either asymptomatic, and/or never get a formal test to become an official case. The current CFRs globally are under 3%, even in places like Brazil who have been hit very hard, so the IFRs will be far lower than those quoted CFR figures.
If 5% of unvaccinated people with Delta CV were dying in 2021 then places like India (where the Delta variant originated) would be charnel houses. India is currently only about 20% vaccinated (ie about 300m people) that leaves 80% (1.1bn) at risk from the Delta variant. There are currently about 200 deaths from covid in the entire of India per day. A 5% IFR just doesn't pass the smell test.
Mortality Risk of COVID-19 - Statistics and Research
Our interactive data visualizations which show the case fatality rate in each country, is updated daily.
ourworldindata.org
If 5% of unvaccinated people with Delta CV were dying in 2021 then places like India (where the Delta variant originated) would be charnel houses. India is currently only about 20% vaccinated (ie about 300m people) that leaves 80% (1.1bn) at risk from the Delta variant. There are currently about 200 deaths from covid in the entire of India per day. A 5% IFR just doesn't pass the smell test.