AHDB planting survey

[shakerator]

ahdb have in the same survey said 93% of intended ww plantings have been done by the 14th feb.Can we who actually till the land believe the accuracy of this cos looking around my area I can only assume that a fair proportion of the farmers up here decided last september to retire and fallow the lot ,a route I should have possibly followed

our own USDA

 

[Hindsight]

http://link.ahdb.org.uk/m/1/45178595/p1-b20051-f2faef2ba107456781ea6496c663b298/2/765/12364edf-529e-40f3-8c80-ca1a92fa28f9

Follow up article.

 

[Clive]

I’d say 60% of mine has every chance of achieving expected yields, the 4 years I’ve been here I’ve averaged 10.2 t/ha so barring a disastrous growing season I can’t see why 10 t/ha wouldnt be on the cards ??

The other 40% is probably going to be 20% down, so maybe 5-10% down over the whole area as a stab

There is a long, long way to go though and May - June weather will still be key of course !!

exacrky my point you are a1 10t grower who is saying 40% will be 2t down, makong you an average. 8t grower this year “if” the rest of the season goes well so that’s best case scenario, that means your more normal mr average 8t grower in a similar situation is looking at more like an average below 6 best case scenario

And that of course on the basis you are lucky enough to actually have wheat in the ground unlike a lot of other 10t growers, many of which have zero in the ground ........ nothing pulls down an average like a zero !