farmerm
Member
- Location
- Shropshire
I am no virologist but I don't think virus "seek" to escape. Does time increase the prevalence of mutations within a virus or is simply a factor of the number of generations, is the prevalence of mutations occurring not pretty much the same regardless if a virus infections 1 million hosts over 6 weeks or over 6 months? If anything over time natural selection may select for less deadly strains of a virus, if a virus stain kills its host too readily it is less able to spread.Disagree there. Lockdown measures reduce the effectiveness of herd immunity as you have a much higher naive population and you are relying on a prolonged period of immunity for those that do catch. As sickening as the current death total is all the lockdown measures are doing globally are increasing the mutations of the virus as it seeks to escape from a smaller population size, and increase the number of virus waves due to increased virus naivety in the population.
If the period of immunity turns out to short your rapid route to herd immunity end up being pretty useless if we are then exposed to the risk of re-importing the virus from elsewhere in a few months time unless are boarders are to stay locked down permanently...
From a political point of view, once we saw how Italy's health service was being overwhelmed and lockdowns occurred across Europe I don't believe our government had any alternative to impose lockdown restrictions here. Could Borris and Matt have stood at the briefing every day and said yes our deaths per day has doubled again today and again and again and again, we have by far the highest death toll in the world, sorry about the 250,000 deaths but it is OK we have dug some big holes for them folk, don't worry about it, the 99% who don't die will be though this and back to normal in 6-8 weeks and can then sit batch and watch the rest of the world struggle to try minimise their death tolls for the next 12 months.
I did state long before lockdown the only way to avoid widespread lockdown was to brick everyone over 60 and those with health conditions into their homes for a period, allow the virus to run rampant and accept some deaths in the 10's of thousands to avoid a death toll in the 100's of thousands