My Bridgeway Biostimulant trial

@Clive not read the whole thread, but to surmise how these tramline farmer trials work.

1. There is usually enough in field variability between tramlines to be statistically significant.
2. Get a few farmers to do the 'trial', hope your magic potion is lucky and is on a 'good tramline'.
3. Hey presto Farmer 'CB' sees a 0.5t/ha yield increase from magic potion, its statistically significant, farmer CB backs this up with his anecdotal evidence.
4. Magic potion company disregards the other ten farmers who saw no yield increase or even a decrease (all due to in field variability as magic potion is in fact rubbish).
5. Magic potion company uses CB as their poster child, farmer CB buys IBC's of the stuff!

Seen it all before, this sort of thing has been tried for years, probably since the dawn of agriculture.

I sincerely hope I'm wrong.

Yep
 

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
Don't forget that farmer CB might own a forum viewed by tens of thousands of other growers - I'd say that was a cheap marketing strategy :p
 

Brisel

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Midlands
....only if there is a significant improvement, if not the resulting negative publicity could be very embarrassing!

Yes, you'd certainly need to be confident your product actually worked & was applied correctly before persuading an "opinion leader" to give it a go in the eye of social media.
 

Clive

Staff Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lichfield
@Clive not read the whole thread, but to surmise how these tramline farmer trials work.

1. There is usually enough in field variability between tramlines to be statistically significant.
2. Get a few farmers to do the 'trial', hope your magic potion is lucky and is on a 'good tramline'.
3. Hey presto Farmer 'CB' sees a 0.5t/ha yield increase from magic potion, its statistically significant, farmer CB backs this up with his anecdotal evidence.
4. Magic potion company disregards the other ten farmers who saw no yield increase or even a decrease (all due to in field variability as magic potion is in fact rubbish).
5. Magic potion company uses CB as their poster child, farmer CB buys IBC's of the stuff!

Seen it all before, this sort of thing has been tried for years, probably since the dawn of agriculture.

I sincerely hope I'm wrong.


A lot of what you say can be said about small plot replicated trials - ie do loads and disgaurd all the negatives - this happens and I don’t trust them hence I would rather do my own trials on my own farm !

When a trial is blogged live (like this I’ve ) you can’t hide the result if it’s a negative ! This is the big difference ! Would you risk that on such a large platform as TFF if you were a manufacturer of a product that was snake oil ?


A lot of tramline trials are not done properly - however they can be as good if not better than small plot replicated trials if done correctly- I’m using large plot sizes (4ha) and have 6 fields it’s being done in fields all selected for lack of variability

when we ran the fungicide trials a few years ago ADAS used spot yield and weighbridge data along with previous field yield data to prove statistically significant result - Dr Daniel Kilndred is an interesting man to talk to about this, he will tell you that tramline trials can be the best trials

But anyway like all the r&d we do the data is really for me so I can decide if I want to use a particular product in the future again or not. I will make my mind up based on what we see.and measure What anyone else makes of my data is up to them
 
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oil barron

Member
Location
Aberdeenshire
[QUOTE

Put simply if you can cut costs by say 50% but your gross output drops by say 20% your bottom line will still be 30% better off
?[/QUOTE]

That is only true if your costs are exactly equal to your output receipts. Ie you are starting from a point of zero net profit.
 

Clive

Staff Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lichfield
The sub has nothing to do with this equation. It is a separate operation. You are looking purely at the profit and loss of growing the crop.

Have a look at my article in direct driller magazine (issue 5) - I really don’t want to just rewrite it here

I maintain most farms are stuck on a gross output treadmill and are neglecting something far more important ....... profit
 

Clive

Staff Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lichfield
So update on the trial

T0 and T1 timing have been completed in timely fashion on the plots that were getting them T2 application will take place next week

Yesterday Stuart and Sarah from Interagro came out and we spent some time collecting tissue samples from some of the plots. There is no visual difference that I can see so far but its fair to say the plots have been through some stress over the very dry period we had

Samples were taken from treated and untreated areas of the fields and Brix compared (a number of randomly picked whole leaves (leaf 2) blended with a coffee grinder and then tested with a electronic meter)

We made a quick video ................ ( because we like playing with drones and iphone gimbles really !) and to prove I am certainly not cut out for a job on country-file anytime soon !!




Brix test results is interesting and frankly quick surprising to the skeptic in me, it does seem to show consistent Brix increase in line with the qty applied. The Bank field is the lightest soil in this trial (sand over gravel) that would have been the most stressed by the doughty conditions and that's where we can see by far the biggest increase in Brix level...................... that has seriously got my attention now !

upload_2019-5-15_12-48-29.png


Tissue samples have now gone of for full analysis - I will post them when we have them back from the lab


Same tests will be done again here between t2 and t3 applications and then again after t3 hopefully ................... the weighbridge at harvest will however be the ultimate judge of this !
 
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Oat

Member
Location
Cheshire
Looks encouraging.
However, if you say that Bank field has been potentially been the most stressed, why does the untreated show some of the highest brix values? Although, this and any other conclusions have to be taken with caution, as there is only 2x samples per field treatment, and there was a highest variability in Bank field.
 

Clive

Staff Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lichfield
Looks encouraging.
However, if you say that Bank field has been potentially been the most stressed, why does the untreated show some of the highest brix values? Although, this and any other conclusions have to be taken with caution, as there is only 2x samples per field treatment, and there was a highest variability in Bank field.


I really can't say for sure but the Bank field is a different variety, drilling date an geographically 20 miles difference in location which I guess could be the reason ? I wanted to have a plot on that field as it is our lightest soil and the most likely to suffer stress. The other fields in the trial are all same variety and same locations etc and on "stronger" soil type


I don't think comparisons should be made between the plots as every field is different. The best comparison is simply treated vs untreated within each field I think


I agree the result needs to be looked at with caution, its early days in this trail and higher Brix may well not even mean more yield really ! But frankly I'm quite suprised there is any difference at this stage at all
 
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Oat

Member
Location
Cheshire
Yes, yield will be more important; and if there is any yield increase, does the extra revenue outweigh the cost of the product and application (ie. does it increase profit)?
Having to do an extra pass each time certainly isn't ideal in terms of cost and time, but maybe if this years' testing shows a benefit, next year it can be tested in tank-mix.
 

Clive

Staff Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Lichfield
Yes, yield will be more important; and if there is any yield increase, does the extra revenue outweigh the cost of the product and application (ie. does it increase profit)?
Having to do an extra pass each time certainly isn't ideal in terms of cost and time, but maybe if this years' testing shows a benefit, next year it can be tested in tank-mix.

The only reason I’ve made applications in separate passes to the fungicide is purely practical / logistics with just 6x4 ha plots to cover

I’m told it tank mixes fine so if I was doing my entire wheat area I would be including it at fungicide timing

These initial results are interesting but it’s too soon to draw any real conclusions yet though ....... show me the MOIC first !!!!
 

principal skinner

Member
Arable Farmer
Location
Bedfordshire
Doing some tramline trials myself,
1lt/ha @ T0followed by 1lt/ha@ T1 will get another @ T2

1lt/ha @ T1 and will go again @T2

2lts/ha @ T1

All the above in WW1 Lili

Done two tramlines in winter beans at 1lt/ha

No visible difference in any of the above yet but will send leaf samples for testing soon
 

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