Uk wheat crop prediction 2020

[shakerator]

My guess is 7million tonnes

 

[teslacoils]

8m

 

[Brisel]

7-9. There seems to be a lot of crops needing a good dollop of rain at critical growth stages i.e. thin late sown poorly rooted ones that need to tiller well to yield. I've had 15mm rain in the last 24 hours but many haven't had enough to wash a lot of fertiliser in.

What is UK demand? 15 mmt/year plus whatever goes for ethanol (little at the moment).

 

[Clive]

I’ve gone 5-7 million

I reckon we will be down close to 50% and that’s on a farm that drilled it all and still has it all, many didn’t so we are looking at least at a 50% drop imo

osr sub 750k tonnes ?

 

[Bossfarmer]

whats it normally? ill say 2/3 of the usual as wheats all in up here and looking well

 

[teslacoils]

I think an interesting question would also be what the barley output will be given many heavy land crops round here will be sub 2t/AC.

 

[essex man]

Mmm most stuff round here got drilled but some looks pretty poor. Been tangling with a virus for a week so haven't been out much lately.
7-9 mill nationally sounds about the range

 

[Adeptandy]

2nd dose of N yesterday and was a depressing experience, 25% of the farm ok, the rest poor or waiting for emergence.

 

[Hampton]

I’ve gone 5-7 million

I reckon we will be down close to 50% and that’s on a farm that drilled it all and still has it all, many didn’t so we are looking at least at a 50% drop imo

osr sub 750k tonnes ?

I think, on the same acreage, my osr is going to yield only 25% of the tonnage I sold last year!
75% yield reduction

 

[fred.950]

2nd dose of N yesterday and was a depressing experience, 25% of the farm ok, the rest poor or waiting for emergence.

You aren’t the only one, I find it very demoralising looking at our wheat and wish we hadn’t bothered planting it!

 

[yellow belly]

rape area round here is less than 25% and some of that will produce very little
several thousand acres of land around here will have no crop
all my farm will have a crop

 

[Worsall]

I've gone with 5 to 7, but really think it could be sub 5. There doesn't appear to be half the amount of wheat up, and much of that is pretty poor. Lots of poor wheat around here now been ripped up and put in barley....changed my vote to 5 now the East and North has had little rain, the crops really need to tiller.

 

[Worsall]

4 people must be doing well for themselves and surrounded by good crops to put above 11m.

 

[Wombat]

I've gone with 5 to 7, but really think it could be sub 5. There doesn't appear to be half the amount of wheat up, and much of that is pretty poor. Lots of poor wheat around here now been ripped up and put in barley....changed my vote to 5 now the East and North has had little rain, the crops really need to tiller.

What rain?

 

[essex man]

What rain?

Must mean the 2mm I had this morn

 

[Wombat]

Must mean the 2mm I had this morn

I thought he meant the 1mm we had 10days ago

 

[onthehoof]

Can’t predict yields in April, May is make or break month, still time to improve

 

[Gong Farmer]

Needs a 'two fifths of sod all' option.

 

[Steevo]

What impact will this have on prices?

Anyone know the global picture?

 

[4course]

What impact will this have on prices?

Anyone know the global picture?

who knows im of the view that farmers the world over will be or are hell bent on trying to produce as much of whatever they grow or rear as they do every year .What will affect prices or rather any chance of making a profit is little to do with the farmers actions in the field but more to do with weather, trade ,politics , currency , logistics and on top of this we have the virus this year and possibly next though like every so called expert/marketing guru ive come across the true answer is volatile ,which basically means they havnt a fecking clue