If you have no fear of losing everything by being overborrowed and don't care if others go down in the wake of your debts, then carry on. Reputation is important.
strange attitude?
no one is advocating irresponsible borrowing
If you have no fear of losing everything by being overborrowed and don't care if others go down in the wake of your debts, then carry on. Reputation is important.
True but worth some consideration i beleive, especially with the precarious nature of current uk economics
We have seen this before. It all looks great until it isn't. I am advocating caution not irresponsible borrowing.strange attitude?
no one is advocating irresponsible borrowing
Course we wereWere we in trade deficit before covid ?
Are you thinking of the Loyds Names as in insurance.In the 80’s one bank called a lot of loans in , that finished a few .
We have seen this before. It all looks great until it isn't. I am advocating caution not irresponsible borrowing.
The 1992 devaluation created a real boom that blair brown took the credit for and then squanderedIt's a race to the bottom. Devaluing your currency makes exports more attractive but creates inflation because we have so many imports from a big trade deficit. Correct me if I'm wrong, but a trade deficit is wealth leaving the country...
my dad tells me a story about £60,000 he borrowed to buy some land back in the 80’s (i think). He says at the time it was a number that kept him awake at night, something that would take a lifetime to pay back. Given the size of the farm back then he must have been quite highly leveraged i think
few years of inflation later, sat on an asset worth many times the debt he paid off the balance with part of one years profit !
today £60,000 is new car money for many
a million today will feel like a not so big number a decade from now
a lot of debt pays itself, as long as ROI can comfortably service it (stress tested) and the asset is not depreciating where is the risk really ?
No but if inflation get s to much interest rate ^ it’s all good until it’s not , world events .has anyone ever seen this ? interest at 0.1% base and predicted to go negative ?
inflation rising fast
money being printed as fast as it can ?
personal and government debt at all time highs ?
not inconceivable BUT in the case of land and buildings extremely unlikely
especially building on your own land that are worth probably 25-50% more than the build cost at completion
If real inflation is nearer 10%, £50/ac could be achievable . it wouldn't buy you as many Mars Bars though.But let's not pretend that generation Z are going to be buying out your generation at 50k an acre when it's time to retire. All the squares are bought, the booze and after eight mints are nearly finished, it's nearly bedtime, and the game isn't lasting much longer.
No but if inflation get s to much interest rate ^ it’s all good until it’s not , world events .
The problem with that is your father's generation started the Christmas game of Monopoly and went round the board a few times, bought up some land, and asset prices and rents doubled and tripled.
Later on after a few rolls, you joined the game at a slight disadvantage, and now the grandchildren have been invited to join the game halfway through, and no surprise are at a massive disadvantage to the earlier generations.
That's why the average age of a farmer is retirement age, and most people under 40 are stuck renting at enormous cost in cities.
It's nearly impossible to win if you join the game late.
In this imagined game of monopoly, eventually the grandchildren and the unlucky of your generation who land on community chest are going to go bankrupt, with assets sold at firesale prices on the way down.
It's not a sustainable board game, and it was designed to show us it's not a sustainable system.
It's nice that your old dad got an enormous capital gain. Good on him, as they say don't hate the player, hate the game.
But let's not pretend that generation Z are going to be buying out your generation at 50k an acre when it's time to retire. All the squares are bought, the booze and after eight mints are nearly finished, it's nearly bedtime, and the game isn't lasting much longer.
If real inflation is nearer 10%, £50/ac could be achievable . it wouldn't buy you as many Mars Bars though.
What do u mean buy them out?I don't doubt the inflation will get there, £100 used to be a salary.
What I doubt is that the upcoming generation are going to be able to afford to buy out the older generation without some rather large changes in the price of assets versus incomes.
Already the average age of a western farmer is retirement age, which tells you that even their childrens generation aged 40 or so can't afford to buy them out.
No, the losers are those without property who will never now have the chance to buy.most of us remember 2008 and the banks sub prime toxic debt ? inconceivable amounts of money were printed to climb out of that hole ......... surely it was never going to last or work ?
well until 12 months ago it was going pretty well
Covid economy is really just another 2008 and just like they did back then central banks are just printing their way out of it
its like a big reset button - the losers are the savers, the winners those with the debt
if you were in debt 12 month’s ago you are less in debt today
if you had cash savings 12months ago you are not as rich as you used to be today
No, the losers are those without property who will never now have the chance to buy.
Bought a sofa and 2 chairs in the boxing day sales, the lady from the store left a message the other day to say we should have it by early June.